Mateusz Rebecki vs Nurullo Aliev Pick, 11/11/2023 Predictions UFC 295 Odds
Mateusz Rebecki vs Nurullo Aliev
UFC 295
Madison Square Garden in New York City
Saturday, November 11, 2023
Mateusz Rebecki will enter the Octagon with Nurullo Aliev at UFC 295 on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The opening odds have Rebecki coming in at -185 while Aliev is at +150.
Mateusz Rebecki has a mark of 17-1-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Nurullo "Tajik Eagle" Aliev comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 9-0-0. The 22-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Mateusz Rebecki is connecting on 5.57 per minute and Nurullo Aliev is connecting on 2.50 significant strikes per min. Rebecki is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he tries and Aliev is connecting on 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Rebecki absorbs 2.18 significant strikes per min while "Tajik Eagle" allows 0.46. Rebecki also curbs 63% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Aliev stops 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
UFC 295 | Mateusz Rebecki | Nurullo Aliev |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -185 | +150 |
Record | 17-1-0 | 9-0-0 |
Average Fight Time | 8:34 | 9:48 |
Height | 5'7" | 5'10" |
Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
Reach | 66" | 72" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.57 | 2.50 |
Striking Accuracy | 53% | 51% |
When it comes to grappling, Mateusz Rebecki is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.50 times per 3 rounds. Rebecki is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his attempts and stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Aliev is scoring a takedown on 44% of his takedown attempts and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Rebecki is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Aliev attempts 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his previous bout, Mateusz Rebecki fought Loik Radzhabov and took home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Radzhabov landed 19 of 54 total strikes that he let go. Rebecki finished this fight landing 64 of 110 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Radzhabov landed 19 of 54, which gave him a percentage of 35%. He landed 16 of 50 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rebecki landed 56% of his significant strikes by landing 54 of 95. Of those significant strikes, he was 24 of 58 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Radzhabov and 100% of them landed by Rebecki were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Nurullo Aliev, he squared up with Rafael Alves and got a win for the night by way of majority decision in round 3. Alves ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Aliev connected on 5% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Aliev ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 19 of 45. He landed 19 of 42 significant strikes aimed at the head. Alves connected on 6 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 11 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Alves landed 25 of 36 and Aliev ended up landing 92 of 140 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Nazim Sadykhov faces off with Viacheslav Borshchev. Sadykhov looks to add a win to his total of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 69". Borshchev stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 7-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". When it comes to grappling, Nazim Sadykhov is averaging a takedown 0.52 times per 15 min and Viacheslav Borshchev takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Sadykhov is landing 4.35 strikes/min and lands 52% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Viacheslav Borshchev, who tags his opponent on 57% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.63 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Mark Madsen is set to square up in the Octagon with Jared Gordon. Gordon comes into this bout holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Madsen measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 12-1-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning grappling, Jared Gordon is able to defend against 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his attempts. Madsen is taking his opponents to the mat on 66% of his tries and is able to curb 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Gordon is taking 3.28 strikes per minute and he is dealing 5.32 strikes/min. Madsen, on the other side, takes 3.67 strikes per minute and lands 3.24 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nurullo Aliev (+150)
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