Martin Buday vs Shamil Gaziev Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

Martin Buday vs Shamil Gaziev

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Martin Buday will face off with Shamil Gaziev at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The odds have Buday at -162 while Gaziev is priced at +136.

Martin "Badys" Buday walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-1-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Shamil Gaziev measures in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-0-0. The 33-year-old reaches 78". With respect to significant strikes, Martin Buday connects on 5.62 per minute while Shamil Gaziev connects on 1.52 significant strikes per minute. Buday connects on 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Gaziev lands 100%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Badys" allows 5.40 significant strikes per minute and Gaziev allows 0.00. Buday also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Gaziev deflects 0% of them.

Regarding wrestling, Martin Buday is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Buday is scoring a takedown on 50% of the times he tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Gaziev is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Buday is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Gaziev looks to get 5.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Martin Buday went up against Josh Parisian and took home the victory by a kimura from side control in round 1. Parisian ended up landing 27 of 63 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Buday walked away from this fight having landed 62 of 91 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Parisian landed 26 of 61, which gave him a rate of 42%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 49 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Buday landed 62% of his significant strikes by landing 42 of 67. Of those significant strikes, he landed 35 of 60 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Parisian and 66% of them connected on by Buday were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Shamil Gaziev, he battled Greg Velasco and ended up winning this fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Velasco landed 0% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Gaziev connected on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gaziev connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 4 of 4. He landed 4 of 4 significant strikes directed at the head. Velasco landed 0 of 0 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 0 of 0 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Velasco connected on 0 of 0 and Gaziev was 7 of 8 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Randy Brown enters the Octagon with Muslim Salikhov. Brown steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Salikhov stands 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 19-4-0. The 39-year-old stretches 70". Regarding grappling, Randy Brown takes his opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 15 min while Muslim Salikhov scores a takedown 1.31 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Brown connects on 4.38 strikes/minute and is connecting on 47% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Muslim Salikhov, who tags the opposition on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.37 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Karol Rosa is set to square up against Irene Aldana. Aldana walks into the cage with a record of 14-7-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Rosa measures 5'5" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 67". In the category of takedowns, Irene Aldana deflects 75% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 50% of her tries. Rosa is finishing her takedown tries on 47% of the tries she takes and is able to thwart 68% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Aldana takes 5.71 strikes/minute while she is landing 4.86 strikes/minute. Rosa, on the contrary, takes 4.17 strikes/minute and is landing 5.43 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Martin Buday (-162)

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