Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

Mario Bautista vs Guido Cannetti

UFC Las Vegas

The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Mario Bautista will face off with Guido Cannetti at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The opening moneyline has Bautista coming in at -1000 while Cannetti is at +625.

Mario Bautista walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 69". Guido "Ninja" Cannetti measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 10-7-0. The 43-year-old extends his reach 68". In the category of significant strikes, Mario Bautista lands 5.61 per minute and Guido Cannetti connects on 3.58 significant strikes per minute. Bautista lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Cannetti lands 55%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Bautista takes 3.92 significant strikes per minute and "Ninja" allows 2.93. Bautista also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Cannetti is able to deflect 51% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Mario Bautista is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.25 times per 15 minutes. Bautista is scoring a takedown on 66% of his tries and stuffing 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Cannetti is taking his opponents down on 52% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Bautista is the more skilled fighter by going for 1.1 finishes per 15 min while Cannetti tries 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Mario Bautista fought Benito Lopez and wound up getting the victory by triangle armbar in round 1. Lopez ended up landing 17 of 25 total strikes that he let go. Bautista ended the night having landed 49 of 72 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lopez landed 17 of 25, which gave him a percentage of 68%. He landed 6 of 14 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Bautista landed 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 44 of 67. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 20 of 41 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Lopez and 72% of them landed by Bautista were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Guido Cannetti, he went up against Randy Costa and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. Costa connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Cannetti ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Cannetti ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 8 of 13. He connected on 1 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. Costa connected on 2 of 7 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 0 of 3 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Costa ended up connecting on 2 of 7 while Cannetti ended up landing 8 of 13 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Victor Henry squares up in the Octagon against Tony Gravely. Henry steps into the cage with a mark of 22-6-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Gravely stands in at 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 23-8-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding grappling, Victor Henry gets his opposition to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rounds while Tony Gravely is able to score a takedown 5.83 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Henry is landing 7.87 strikes per minute and landing 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Tony Gravely, who connects on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.61 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Bruno Silva is set to square up in the Octagon against Tyson Nam. Nam looks to add a victory to his career total of 21-12-1. The 39-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Silva measures 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-5-2 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a reach of 65". Regarding takedowns, Tyson Nam thwarts 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries. Silva is taking his opponents down on 31% of his tries and curbs 64% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Nam is absorbing 5.66 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.68 per min. Silva, notwithstanding, takes 3.23 strikes per minute and is dealing 2.98 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Guido Cannetti (+625)

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