Marina Rodriguez vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/18/2023

Marina Rodriguez vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez

UFC Vegas 79

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Marina Rodriguez will face off with Michelle Waterson-Gomez at UFC Vegas 79 on Saturday, September 23, 2023. The opener has Rodriguez priced at -310 while Waterson-Gomez is at +250.

Marina Rodriguez walks into the cage holding a record of 16-3-2. The 36-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Michelle "The Karate Hottie" Waterson-Gomez measures 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 18-11-0. The 37-year-old extends her reach 62". Concerning significant strikes, Marina Rodriguez is connecting on 4.58 per min and Michelle Waterson-Gomez is connecting on 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez connects on 47% of the significant strikes she attempts and Waterson-Gomez lands 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, Rodriguez allows 2.94 significant strikes per minute and "The Karate Hottie" takes 4.01. Rodriguez also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Waterson-Gomez stops 51% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Marina Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 79	Marina Rodriguez	Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Opening Odds	-310	+250
Record	16-3-2	18-11-0
Average Fight Time	14:34	14:18
Height	5'6"	5'3"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	65"	62"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.58	3.63
Striking Accuracy	47%	46%

In terms of grappling, Marina Rodriguez is not as efficient of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.17 times per 3 rds. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 33% of her tries and defending 64% of all takedown attempts. Waterson-Gomez is scoring a takedown on 33% of the takedowns she tries and is stopping 72% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of submissions, Rodriguez is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Waterson-Gomez tries 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

Get all of our Free UFC Picks

In her last appearance in the Octagon, Marina Rodriguez faced Virna Jandiroba and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Jandiroba landed 91 of 116 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Rodriguez walked away from this fight having landed 115 of 150 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jandiroba ended up landing 27 of 43, which means her percentage was 62%. She finished the fight landing 25 of 41 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Rodriguez landed 53% of her significant strikes by landing 33 of 62. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 27 of 52 pointed at the head. 25% of the significant strikes landed by Jandiroba and 30% of them landed by Rodriguez were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Michelle Waterson-Gomez, she squared up with Luana Pinheiro and took a loss on the night via split decision in round 3. Pinheiro connected on 86% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Waterson-Gomez ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Waterson-Gomez landed 32% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 61 of 188. She landed 18 of 114 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pinheiro ended up connecting on 44 of 122 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 16 of 79 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Pinheiro landed 48 of 132 and Waterson-Gomez connected on 70 of 199 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mizuki Inoue enters the Octagon against Hannah Goldy. Inoue walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Goldy comes in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 6-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 61". In the grappling category, Mizuki Inoue gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds while Hannah Goldy takes her opponents to the canvas 0.56 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Inoue lands 5.00 strikes per minute and connects on 50% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Hannah Goldy, who is landing 46% of the strikes she has thrown and is connecting on 5.78 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Mateusz Gamrot is set to go up against Rafael Fiziev. Fiziev has a career record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 71". Gamrot stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 22-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 70". When it comes to takedowns, Rafael Fiziev stops 90% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 40% of the times he tries. Gamrot is taking his opponents down on 31% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Fiziev absorbs 5.17 strikes/minute while he deals 5.06 per minute. Gamrot, on the other side, takes 3.23 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.03 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marina Rodriguez (-310)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 22, 2024 @ 6:10 PM
Expert:	Tony George
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Marina Rodriguez vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks