Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 4/29/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 72 Odds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
UFC Vegas 72
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, April 29, 2023
Marcos Rogerio de Lima will face off with Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC Vegas 72 on Saturday, April 29, 2023. The line has Lima at -160 while Cortes-Acosta is priced at +130.
Marcos "Pezao" Rogerio de Lima comes into this fight with a record of 20-9-1. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 253 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes-Acosta comes in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 78". When talking about significant strikes, Marcos Rogerio de Lima connects on 3.57 per minute while Waldo Cortes-Acosta lands 7.81 significant strikes per minute. Rogerio de Lima is landing 54% of the significant strikes he throws while Cortes-Acosta is connecting on 50%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Pezao" allows 2.41 significant strikes per minute while "Salsa Boy" allows 4.07. Rogerio de Lima also prevents 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Cortes-Acosta is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 72 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -160 | +130 |
| Record | 20-9-1 | 9-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 6:00 | 11:13 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 253 lbs | 260 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.57 | 7.81 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 50% |
In terms of wrestling, Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.09 times per 3 rds. Rogerio de Lima is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries and stuffing 57% of all takedown tries against him. Cortes-Acosta is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Rogerio de Lima is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Cortes-Acosta tries 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Marcos Rogerio de Lima faced Andrei Arlovski and wound up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Arlovski ended up landing 3 of 6 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Lima ended the night having landed 25 of 33 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Arlovski landed 2 of 5, which means his percentage was 40%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 3 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Lima ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 6 of 11. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 3 of 8 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Arlovski and 83% of them connected on by Lima were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Waldo Cortes-Acosta, he squared up with Chase Sherman and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Sherman connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 147 of 278. He ended up connecting on 124 of 247 significant strikes aimed at the head. Sherman connected on 66 of 177 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 25 of 130 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Sherman ended up landing 73 of 187 while Cortes-Acosta landed 149 of 282 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Martin Buday enters the Octagon against Jake Collier. Buday has a career mark of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Collier measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 13-8-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 78". When it comes to grappling, Martin Buday takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Jake Collier is able to score a takedown 0.89 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Buday connects for an average of 4.59 strikes/minute and connects on 48% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Jake Collier, who lands 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 5.75 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Pete Rodriguez is set to square up in the Octagon against Natan Levy. Levy will be looking to add a win to his career total of 8-1-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Rodriguez measures 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 4-1-0. The 26-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to takedowns, Natan Levy is thwarting 41% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 57% of the times he tries. Rodriguez is taking his opponents down on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Levy absorbs 3.52 strikes/min and he is dishing out 4.01 per min. Rodriguez, in contrast, takes 11.69 strikes/min and connects on 10.37 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Waldo Cortes-Acosta (+130)
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