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Lucie Pudilova vs Ailin Perez Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/15/2023

Lucie Pudilova vs Ailin Perez

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Lucie Pudilova will battle Ailin Perez at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The moneyline has Pudilova priced at +150 while Perez is priced at -180.

Lucie Pudilova comes into this bout holding a record of 14-8-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Ailin "Fiona" Perez measures 5'5" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 66". When talking about significant strikes, Lucie Pudilova lands 3.97 per min and Ailin Perez connects on 3.05 significant strikes per minute. Pudilova is landing 37% of the significant strikes she attempts while Perez connects on 55%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Pudilova allows 3.95 significant strikes per min while "Fiona" absorbs 1.08. Pudilova also defends against 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Perez prevents 60% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Lucie Pudilova ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 82 Lucie Pudilova Ailin Perez
Opening Odds +150 -180
Record 14-8-0 8-2-0
Average Fight Time 13:23 12:27
Height 5'8" 5'5"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 67" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.97 3.05
Striking Accuracy 37% 55%

 

In the category of takedowns, Lucie Pudilova is not as effective of a grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.62 times per 3 rds. Pudilova is getting her opponent to the mat on 27% of her tries and stuffing 63% of the takedowns her opponents try. Perez is getting her opponent to the mat on 61% of the takedowns she attempts and is defending 75% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to going for the submission, Pudilova is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Perez goes for 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

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In her previous fight, Lucie Pudilova fought Joselyne Edwards and was defeated by way of split decision in round 3. Edwards ended up landing 90 of 153 total strikes that she let go. Pudilova ended the night having landed 74 of 138 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Edwards ended up landing 56 of 114, which gave her a percentage of 49%. She landed 19 of 65 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Pudilova landed 39% of her significant strikes by sticking 39 of 98. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 27 of 82 pointed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Edwards and 53% of them landed by Pudilova were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Ailin Perez, she fought Ashlee Evans-Smith and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Evans-Smith ended up landing 58% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Perez ended up connecting on 20% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Perez ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 60 of 104. She connected on 50 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. Evans-Smith connected on 12 of 47 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up landing 6 of 40 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Evans-Smith ended up connecting on 13 of 49 and Perez was 127 of 190 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brendan Allen enters the Octagon against Paul Craig. Allen comes into this fight with a mark of 22-5-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Craig measures 6'3" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-6-1. The 35-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding grappling, Brendan Allen takes his opponents down 1.22 times per 15 minutes and Paul Craig takes his opponents down 1.91 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Allen lands an average of 3.96 strikes per min and connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Paul Craig, who is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes and lands 2.57 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jake Matthews is set to square up in the Octagon against Michael Morales. Morales comes into this fight with a mark of 15-0-0. The 24-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Matthews comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 73". Regarding wrestling, Michael Morales thwarts 91% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 45% of his attempts. Matthews is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his attempts and is able to curb 61% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Morales is taking 3.54 strikes/min and he deals 5.17 strikes per min. Matthews, in contrast, is taking 2.33 strikes/min and lands 3.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ailin Perez (-180)

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