Lucas Alexander vs David Onama Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds

Lucas Alexander vs David Onama

UFC Sao Paulo

Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil

Saturday, November 4, 2023

Lucas Alexander will face off with David Onama at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The moneyline has Alexander at +155 while Onama is priced at -195.

Lucas "The Lion" Alexander comes into this bout holding a record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". David Onama measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 74". When talking about significant strikes, Lucas Alexander lands 5.05 per minute and David Onama is connecting on 5.38 significant strikes per minute. Alexander connects on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Onama lands 46%. Regarding defense, "The Lion" allows 1.76 significant strikes per minute and Onama allows 5.48. Alexander also defends against 72% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Onama is able to defend against 51% of them.

Regarding grappling, Lucas Alexander is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Alexander is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Onama is taking his opponents down on 18% of the takedowns he tries and defending 45% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Alexander is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.9 subs per 15 min while Onama attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Lucas Alexander fought Steven Peterson and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Peterson ended up landing 27 of 102 total strikes that he let go. Alexander finished this fight landing 86 of 159 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Peterson ended up landing 26 of 101, giving him a percentage of 25%. He ended up landing 8 of 67 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Alexander ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 85 of 158. Of all the significant strikes, he was 43 of 108 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Peterson and 91% of them landed by Alexander were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for David Onama, he squared up with Gabriel Santos and wound up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Santos landed 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Onama landed 79% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Onama landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 53 of 104. He connected on 47 of 95 significant strikes directed at the head. Santos ended up connecting on 39 of 73 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 22 of 46 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Santos ended up landing 56 of 90 and Onama ended up connecting on 59 of 118 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Angela Hill battles Denise Gomes. Hill has a record of 15-13-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Gomes stands 5'2" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-2-0. The 23-year-old extends her reach 63". When it comes to grappling, Angela Hill is able to score a takedown 0.54 times per 3 rds while Denise Gomes takes her opponents to the canvas 1.18 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Hill lands an average of 5.46 strikes per min and landing 49% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Denise Gomes, who connects on 49% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 5.07 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Montserrat Conejo Ruiz is set to go up against Eduarda Moura. Moura comes into this bout with a record of 9-0-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Conejo Ruiz comes in at 5'0" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 61". Regarding wrestling, Eduarda Moura curbs 15% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 85% of her tries. Conejo Ruiz is taking her opponents down on 83% of the attempts she tries and curbs 66% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Moura is taking 0.00 strikes per min while she lands 1.50 per min. Conejo Ruiz, on the other side, absorbs 4.24 strikes per minute and is connecting on 0.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lucas Alexander (+155)

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