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Lerone Murphy vs Josh Culibao Pick, 7/22/2023 Predictions UFC London Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/17/2023

Lerone Murphy vs Josh Culibao

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, July 22, 2023

Lerone Murphy will battle Josh Culibao at UFC London on Saturday, July 22, 2023. The line has Murphy priced at -155 while Culibao is priced at +130.

Lerone "The Miracle" Murphy steps into the cage with a record of 12-0-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Josh "Kuya" Culibao measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old has a reach of 73". With respect to significant strikes, Lerone Murphy connects on 3.58 per minute while Josh Culibao is landing 2.96 significant strikes per minute. Murphy is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Culibao connects on 43%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Miracle" takes 2.64 significant strikes per min while "Kuya" takes 3.13. Murphy also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Culibao is able to defend against 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Lerone Murphy UFC

 

UFC London Lerone Murphy Josh Culibao
Opening Odds -155 +130
Record 12-0-1 11-1-1
Average Fight Time 10:54 12:01
Height 5'9" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 73" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.58 2.96
Striking Accuracy 48% 43%

 

Regarding grappling, Lerone Murphy is the more skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.83 times per 15 minutes. Murphy is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his tries and stopping 43% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Culibao is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 82% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Murphy is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Culibao tries 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Lerone Murphy fought Gabriel Santos and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. Santos landed 87 of 141 total strikes attempted in that fight. Murphy ended the night having landed 115 of 183 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Santos ended up landing 69 of 122, which means his percentage was 56%. He ended up landing 32 of 73 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Murphy landed 57% of his significant strikes by connecting on 93 of 161. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 59 of 117 to the head. 79% of the significant strikes landed by Santos and 82% of them connected on by Murphy were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Josh Culibao, he squared up with Melsik Baghdasaryan and ended up getting the victory via rear naked choke in round 2. Baghdasaryan ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Culibao connected on 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Culibao landed 35% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 16 of 45. He landed 3 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. Baghdasaryan landed 26 of 44 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 6 of 19 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Baghdasaryan ended up landing 26 of 44 and Culibao connected on 16 of 45 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Davey Grant squares up against Daniel Marcos. Grant comes into this bout with a mark of 15-6-0. The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Marcos measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 14-0-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In the grappling category, Davey Grant takes his opponents to the mat 1.41 times per 3 rounds while Daniel Marcos is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Grant lands 4.78 strikes per minute and connecting on 44% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Daniel Marcos, who is landing 53% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 6.01 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Jonny Parsons is set to go up against Danny Roberts. Roberts steps into the cage with a mark of 18-7-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Parsons measures in at 5'9" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 8-2-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 69". In terms of wrestling, Danny Roberts is able to stop 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the times he tries. Parsons is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and is able to defend against 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Roberts is taking 3.50 strikes/min while he deals 3.08 strikes/minute. Parsons, at the same time, is taking 5.20 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.53 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Lerone Murphy (-155)

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