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Kyler Phillips vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/31/2023

Kyler Phillips vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Kyler Phillips will take on Raoni Barcelos at UFC Nashville on Saturday, August 5, 2023. The opening odds have Phillips priced at -200 while Barcelos is at +170.

Kyler "The Matrix" Phillips looks to add a win to his career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Raoni Barcelos stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 17-4-0. The 36-year-old stretches 67". In terms of significant strikes, Kyler Phillips connects on 5.50 per minute and Raoni Barcelos is landing 5.69 significant strikes per min. Phillips is landing 49% of the significant strikes he throws and Barcelos lands 52%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Matrix" absorbs 3.43 significant strikes per min while Barcelos allows 5.06. Phillips also defends 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Barcelos is able to curb 61% of them.

ufc picks Kyler Phillips predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Nashville Kyler Phillips Raoni Barcelos
Opening Odds -200 +170
Record 10-2-0 17-4-0
Average Fight Time 10:33 12:14
Height 5'8" 5'7"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 72" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.50 5.69
Striking Accuracy 49% 52%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Kyler Phillips is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.32 times per 15 min. Phillips is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his attempts and stuffing 69% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Barcelos is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 93% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Phillips is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Barcelos goes for 0.4 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Kyler Phillips fought Marcelo Rojo and took home the victory via a triangle armbar in round 3. Rojo ended up landing 57 of 155 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Phillips walked away from this fight having landed 90 of 176 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rojo landed 55 of 153, which gave him a rate of 35%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 123 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Phillips landed 48% of his significant strikes by landing 80 of 164. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 52 of 135 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Rojo and 78% of them landed by Phillips were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Raoni Barcelos, he fought Umar Nurmagomedov and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Nurmagomedov landed 97% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Barcelos landed 76% of his significant strikes at distance. Barcelos ended up connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 13 of 24. He connected on 6 of 17 significant strikes to the head. Nurmagomedov connected on 36 of 51 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 20 of 32 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 36 of 51 and Barcelos was 14 of 25 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jeremiah Wells meets Carlston Harris. Wells walks into the cage holding a record of 12-2-1. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 74". Harris measures 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-5-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 76". When it comes to grappling, Jeremiah Wells gets his opposition to the mat 3.93 times per 3 rds and Carlston Harris scores a takedown 3.04 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Wells lands 2.96 strikes/minute and is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Carlston Harris, who is landing 52% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 4.14 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Damon Jackson is set to square up against Billy Quarantillo. Quarantillo looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-5-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Jackson comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 22-5-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 71". Regarding takedowns, Billy Quarantillo stops 58% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 23% of the times he tries. Jackson is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 40% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Quarantillo is taking 5.79 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 7.86 per min. Jackson, at the same time, is taking 2.92 strikes per min and is connecting on 2.78 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (+170)

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