Kyle Nelson vs Blake Bilder Pick, 6/10/2023 Predictions UFC 289 Odds

Kyle Nelson vs Blake Bilder

UFC 289

Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC

Saturday, June 10, 2023

Kyle Nelson will face off with Blake Bilder at UFC 289 on Saturday, June 10, 2023. The odds have Nelson coming in at +200 while Bilder is at -250.

Kyle "The Monster" Nelson walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The switch fighter stretches 71". Blake "El Animal" Bilder stands 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 8-0-1. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding significant strikes, Kyle Nelson lands 2.85 per minute while Blake Bilder connects on 6.58 significant strikes per min. Nelson is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Bilder is connecting on 57%. Regarding defense, "The Monster" takes 4.89 significant strikes per minute while "El Animal" allows 5.05. Nelson also curbs 45% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Bilder curbs 58% of them.

In terms of takedowns, Kyle Nelson is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.71 times per 3 rds. Nelson is getting his opponent to the mat on 23% of his tries and is stopping 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Bilder is taking his opponents to the canvas on 14% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 100% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Nelson is not as skilled of a technician by going for 1.0 sub per 15 minutes while Bilder tries 1.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Kyle Nelson faced Dooho Choi and ended up in a draw via majority decision in round 3. Choi landed 79 of 114 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Nelson walked away from this fight having landed 39 of 80 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Choi ended up landing 50 of 78, which gave him a percentage of 64%. He landed 11 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Nelson ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by sticking 20 of 58. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 10 of 41 aimed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes landed by Choi and 85% of them landed by Nelson were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Blake Bilder, he faced off with Shane Young and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Young connected on 98% of his significant strikes at distance and Bilder ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Bilder ended up connecting on 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 111 of 190. He connected on 62 of 134 significant strikes aimed at the head. Young ended up connecting on 80 of 196 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 42 of 151 to the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Young ended up connecting on 81 of 197 while Bilder connected on 126 of 206 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Amanda Nunes opposes Irene Aldana. Nunes comes into this fight with a mark of 22-5-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Aldana measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 14-6-0. The 35-year-old stretches 68". When it comes to grappling, Amanda Nunes takes her opponents to the mat 2.61 times per 15 minutes while Irene Aldana takes her opponents to the mat 0.20 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Nunes lands an average of 4.40 strikes/min and is connecting on 51% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Irene Aldana, who is landing 39% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 5.39 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jasmine Jasudavicius is set to square up against Miranda Maverick. Maverick steps into the cage with a record of 13-4-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Jasudavicius stands 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 68". In terms of wrestling, Miranda Maverick is able to curb 44% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 61% of the times she tries. Jasudavicius is finishing her takedown tries on 41% of the attempts she tries and deflects 72% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Maverick is absorbing 2.53 strikes per min while she is landing 3.74 strikes/minute. Jasudavicius, in contrast, is absorbing 3.85 strikes per min and is dishing out 2.92 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+200)

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