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Kron Gracie vs Charles Jourdain Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/1/2023

Kron Gracie vs Charles Jourdain

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Kron Gracie will face off against Charles Jourdain at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opening moneyline has Gracie at +165 while Jourdain is coming in at -200.

Kron Gracie has a record of 5-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Charles "Air" Jourdain stands 5'9" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-6-1. The 27-year-old reaches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Kron Gracie is connecting on 5.15 per min while Charles Jourdain is connecting on 5.84 significant strikes per minute. Gracie lands 41% of the significant strikes he tries while Jourdain lands 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Gracie allows 8.13 significant strikes per minute and "Air" allows 4.56. Gracie also defends 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Jourdain is able to defend against 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Charles Jourdain ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 288 Kron Gracie Charles Jourdain
Opening Odds +165 -200
Record 5-1-0 13-6-1
Average Fight Time 8:33 12:57
Height 5'9" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 70" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.15 5.84
Striking Accuracy 41% 49%

 

Concerning takedowns, Kron Gracie is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.88 times per 3 rds. Gracie is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of the times he tries and is stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Jourdain is taking his opponents down on 16% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 48% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Gracie is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Jourdain tries 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Kron Gracie went up against Cub Swanson and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Swanson ended up landing 143 of 296 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gracie ended the night having landed 109 of 225 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Swanson ended up landing 135 of 288, which gave him a percentage of 46%. He finished the fight landing 84 of 215 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gracie landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 86 of 200. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 73 of 177 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Swanson and 86% of them connected on by Gracie were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Charles Jourdain, he squared up with Nathaniel Wood and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Wood landed 80% of his significant strikes at distance and Jourdain ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes at distance. Jourdain ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 86 of 203. He ended up landing 56 of 165 significant strikes directed at the head. Wood ended up landing 97 of 202 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 61 of 157 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Wood ended up landing 128 of 234 while Jourdain landed 115 of 232 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Drew Dober squares up against Matt Frevola. Dober walks into the Octagon with a record of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Frevola measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 10-3-1. The 32-year-old stretches 71". Regarding grappling, Drew Dober scores a takedown 0.71 times per 3 rounds while Matt Frevola is averaging a takedown 2.39 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Dober lands 4.47 strikes/min and landing 40% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Matt Frevola, who tags his opponent on 41% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.46 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Devin Clark is set to encounter Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu has a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 83". Clark stands 6'0" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 14-7-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". When it comes to takedowns, Kennedy Nzechukwu is able to defend against 80% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 55% of his tries. Clark is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 59% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Nzechukwu absorbs 4.19 strikes/minute and he deals 4.63 strikes per min. Clark, moreover, takes 2.71 strikes per min and dishes out 2.91 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Charles Jourdain (-200)

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