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Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/4/2023

Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

UFC 287

Miami-Dade Arena in Miami, FL

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Kevin Holland will battle Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 287 on Saturday, April 8, 2023. The line has Holland at -275 while Ponzinibbio is priced at +210.

Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland holds a career mark of 23-9-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 81". Santiago "Argentine Dagger" Ponzinibbio stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 30-6-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 73". With respect to significant strikes, Kevin Holland is landing 4.06 per min and Santiago Ponzinibbio is connecting on 5.02 significant strikes per min. Holland lands 54% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ponzinibbio is landing 41%. Regarding defense, "Trailblazer" absorbs 2.96 significant strikes per min while "Argentine Dagger" takes 4.65. Holland also defends 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Ponzinibbio is able to defend against 61% of them.

ufc picks Kevin Holland predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 287 Kevin Holland Santiago Ponzinibbio
Opening Odds -275 +210
Record 23-9-0 (1 NC) 30-6-0
Average Fight Time 11:11 10:52
Height 6'3" 6'0"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 81" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.06 5.02
Striking Accuracy 54% 41%

 

When it comes to grappling, Kevin Holland is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.89 times per 15 min. Holland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his tries and is stopping 50% of all takedown tries against him. Ponzinibbio is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his takedown tries and defending 60% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Holland is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Ponzinibbio tries 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Kevin Holland squared up with Stephen Thompson and walked away in defeat by way of corner stoppage in round 4. Thompson ended up landing 178 of 278 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Holland finished this fight landing 123 of 214 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Thompson ended up landing 163 of 260, which gave him a percentage of 62%. He finished the fight landing 103 of 192 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Holland landed 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 119 of 210. Of those significant strikes, he was 52 of 131 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Thompson and 81% of them connected on by Holland were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Santiago Ponzinibbio, he fought Alex Morono and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 3. Morono ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Ponzinibbio landed 98% of his significant strikes at distance. Ponzinibbio ended up connecting on 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 66 of 155. He ended up landing 31 of 99 significant strikes directed at the head. Morono connected on 38 of 131 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 34 of 120 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Morono ended up landing 38 of 131 while Ponzinibbio connected on 66 of 155 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Raul Rosas Jr. squares up against Christian Rodriguez. Rosas Jr. walks into the cage holding a record of 7-0-0. The 18-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Raul Rosas Jr. takes his opponents to the canvas 4.23 times per 3 rounds and Christian Rodriguez takes his opponents to the canvas 0.88 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Rosas Jr. is connecting on 1.30 strikes/min and is landing 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Christian Rodriguez, who lands 41% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 3.31 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kelvin Gastelum is set to square up against Chris Curtis. Curtis walks into the Octagon with a mark of 30-9-0. The 35-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Gastelum comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-8-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of wrestling, Chris Curtis defends against 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the times he tries. Gastelum is taking his opponents to the mat on 32% of his tries and is able to stop 62% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Curtis absorbs 6.39 strikes per min and he connects on 5.82 strikes per min. Gastelum, on the contrary, takes 3.24 strikes per min and dishes out 3.53 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Santiago Ponzinibbio (+210)

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