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Josh Emmett vs Bryce Mitchell Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/12/2023

Josh Emmett vs Bryce Mitchell

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Josh Emmett will enter the Octagon with Bryce Mitchell at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The opening line has Emmett at +150 while Mitchell is coming in at -218.

Josh "CC0" Emmett steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell stands 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 16-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". In terms of significant strikes, Josh Emmett is connecting on 4.07 per minute and Bryce Mitchell is landing 2.34 significant strikes per min. Emmett is connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he tries while Mitchell is connecting on 58%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "CC0" absorbs 4.66 significant strikes per minute while "Thug Nasty" allows 1.64. Emmett also curbs 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Mitchell is able to thwart 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Josh Emmett ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 296 Josh Emmett Bryce Mitchell
Opening Odds +150 -218
Record 18-4-0 16-2-0
Average Fight Time 13:47 12:49
Height 5'6" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 70" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.07 2.34
Striking Accuracy 36% 58%

 

In the wrestling category, Josh Emmett is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.92 times per 15 min. Emmett is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his tries and stuffing 46% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Mitchell is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Emmett is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Mitchell goes for 1.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Josh Emmett went up against Ilia Topuria and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Topuria landed 171 of 365 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Emmett finished this fight landing 89 of 309 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Topuria landed 152 of 344, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 124 of 302 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Emmett landed 28% of his significant strikes by landing 87 of 305. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 43 of 232 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Topuria and 100% of them connected on by Emmett were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Bryce Mitchell, he went up against Dan Ige and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Ige connected on 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Mitchell connected on 73% of his significant strikes at distance. Mitchell landed 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 23 of 40. He connected on 13 of 22 significant strikes to the head. Ige ended up connecting on 18 of 55 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 47 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Ige landed 32 of 72 and Mitchell ended up landing 37 of 59 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Garbrandt enters the Octagon with Brian Kelleher. Garbrandt will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Kelleher measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 24-14-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 66". When it comes to grappling, Cody Garbrandt takes his opponents to the canvas 1.13 times per 15 min while Brian Kelleher takes his opponents to the mat 1.79 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Garbrandt connects on 3.00 strikes per minute and lands 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Brian Kelleher, who lands 41% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.36 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Dustin Jacoby is set to face off with Alonzo Menifield. Menifield walks into the cage with a mark of 14-3-1. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jacoby comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 19-7-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of grappling, Alonzo Menifield is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries. Jacoby is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and prevents 60% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Menifield is taking 3.09 strikes/min and he lands 3.82 per min. Jacoby, on the other side, takes 4.02 strikes per min and is dealing 5.46 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bryce Mitchell (-218)

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