Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/28/2023

Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane

UFC 285

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 4, 2023

Jon Jones will face off against Ciryl Gane at UFC 285 on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The moneyline has Jones at -155 while Gane is at +135.

Jon "Bones" Jones has a record of 26-1-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 84". Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane comes in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-1-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 81". Concerning significant strikes, Jon Jones is connecting on 4.30 per minute and Ciryl Gane is connecting on 5.11 significant strikes per minute. Jones is connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he throws while Gane is connecting on 59%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Bones" takes 2.22 significant strikes per min while "Bon Gamin" allows 2.25. Jones also thwarts 64% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Gane stops 62% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC 285	Jon Jones	Ciryl Gane
Opening Odds	-155	+135
Record	26-1-0 (1 NC)	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	15:28	16:07
Height	6'4"	6'4"
Weight	205 lbs	245 lbs
Reach	84"	81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.30	5.11
Striking Accuracy	57%	59%

When it comes to grappling, Jon Jones is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.85 times per 3 rounds. Jones is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his attempts and defending 95% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Gane is taking his opponents to the mat on 21% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 55% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Jones is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Gane goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Jon Jones fought Dominick Reyes and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Reyes landed 119 of 263 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Jones finished this fight landing 107 of 170 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Reyes landed 116 of 259, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 41 of 169 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Jones landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 104 of 166. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 31 of 74 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Reyes and 97% of them connected on by Jones were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Ciryl Gane, he fought Tai Tuivasa and wound up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 3. Tuivasa connected on 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Gane connected on 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gane ended up landing 65% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 110 of 168. He ended up connecting on 64 of 110 significant strikes aimed at the head. Tuivasa connected on 29 of 89 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 61 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Tuivasa ended up connecting on 29 of 89 while Gane landed 110 of 168 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Geoff Neal meets Shavkat Rakhmonov. Neal steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Rakhmonov measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding grappling, Geoff Neal is averaging a takedown 0.59 times per 15 min while Shavkat Rakhmonov takes his opponents to the canvas 2.31 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Neal connects for an average of 5.27 strikes/min and landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Shavkat Rakhmonov, who lands 53% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 2.54 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jalin Turner is set to square up against Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Turner comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-5-0. The 27-year-old reaches 77". Concerning wrestling, Mateusz Gamrot defends against 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 31% of the times he tries. Turner is finishing his takedowns on 80% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 77% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Gamrot takes 3.34 strikes per min while he is landing 3.26 per minute. Turner, in contrast, absorbs 4.31 strikes per minute and is landing 6.48 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jon Jones (-155)

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Jon Jones vs Ciryl Gane Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

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