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Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira Pick, 11/11/2023 Predictions UFC 295 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/7/2023

Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira

UFC 295

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 11, 2023

Jiri Prochazka will face off with Alex Pereira at UFC 295 on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The opening odds have Prochazka at +105 while Pereira is priced at -125.

Jiri Prochazka looks to add a victory to his career total of 29-3-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Alex "Poatan" Pereira stands in at 6'4" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the category of significant strikes, Jiri Prochazka is landing 5.77 per min and Alex Pereira is connecting on 5.11 significant strikes per minute. Prochazka connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pereira connects on 62%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Prochazka absorbs 5.40 significant strikes per min and "Poatan" absorbs 3.70. Prochazka also prevents 40% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Pereira is able to stop 51% of them.

ufc picks Jiri Prochazka ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 295 Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira
Opening Odds +105 -125
Record 29-3-1 8-2-0
Average Fight Time 13:17 11:33
Height 6'3" 6'4"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 80" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.77 5.11
Striking Accuracy 55% 62%

 

In terms of wrestling, Jiri Prochazka is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 0.38 times per 3 rds. Prochazka is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of the times he tries and defending 68% of all takedown tries against him. Pereira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Prochazka is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Pereira goes for 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Jiri Prochazka fought Glover Teixeira and wound up taking home the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 5. Teixeira landed 159 of 212 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Prochazka finished this fight landing 157 of 245 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Teixeira landed 111 of 161, which gave him a rate of 68%. He landed 98 of 145 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Prochazka ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 120 of 205. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 106 of 190 pointed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes landed by Teixeira and 63% of them landed by Prochazka were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Alex Pereira, he fought Jan Blachowicz and took home the win by split decision in round 3. Blachowicz ended up connecting on 78% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Pereira ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pereira connected on 76% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 70 of 92. He ended up landing 26 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Blachowicz connected on 52 of 81 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 41 of 66 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Blachowicz ended up connecting on 82 of 117 while Pereira ended up connecting on 112 of 138 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Sergei Pavlovich squares up in the Octagon against Tom Aspinall. Pavlovich looks to add a win to his career total of 18-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 257 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 84". Aspinall comes in at 6'5" and records a weight of 256 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 78". Regarding grappling, Sergei Pavlovich takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rds while Tom Aspinall is averaging a takedown 3.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Pavlovich tags his opponents 8.72 strikes per minute and connects on 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Tom Aspinall, who tags the opposition on 66% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 7.65 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Benoit Saint Denis is set to square up against Matt Frevola. Frevola comes into this fight holding a mark of 11-3-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Saint Denis measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old reaches 73". In terms of wrestling, Matt Frevola defends against 42% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his tries. Saint Denis is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of the tries he takes and prevents 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Frevola is taking 3.56 strikes/minute while he deals 3.72 per minute. Saint Denis, notwithstanding, takes 5.27 strikes per minute and is landing 5.59 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jiri Prochazka (+105)

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