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Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon Pick, 6/3/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 74 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/30/2023

Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon

UFC Vegas 74

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 3, 2023

Jim Miller will battle Jared Gordon at UFC Vegas 74 on Saturday, June 3, 2023. The line has Miller coming in at +200 while Gordon is coming in at -175.

Jim "A-10" Miller comes into this bout with a record of 35-17-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Jared "Flash" Gordon stands 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old extends his reach 68". In the category of significant strikes, Jim Miller lands 2.85 per min while Jared Gordon lands 5.32 significant strikes per min. Miller lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts and Gordon connects on 57%. In terms of defending in the cage, "A-10" takes 3.08 significant strikes per minute and "Flash" absorbs 3.28. Miller also defends 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Gordon is able to stop 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jared Gordon predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 74 Jim Miller Jared Gordon
Opening Odds +200 -175
Record 35-17-0 (1 NC) 19-6-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:50 11:29
Height 5'8" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.85 5.32
Striking Accuracy 41% 57%

 

In terms of grappling, Jim Miller is not as efficient of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.56 times per 3 rounds. Miller is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of his tries and defending 48% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Gordon is scoring a takedown on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, Miller is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.8 finishes per 15 min while Gordon attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Jim Miller squared up with Alexander Hernandez and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hernandez landed 111 of 238 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Miller finished this fight landing 68 of 186 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Hernandez landed 108 of 234, which gave him a rate of 46%. He ended up landing 62 of 169 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Miller landed 36% of his significant strikes by landing 67 of 185. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 32 of 137 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Hernandez and 95% of them connected on by Miller were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jared Gordon, he battled Bobby Green and the fight ended in a no contest by a head butt from Green in round 1. Green ended up connecting on 73% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gordon ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gordon ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 17 of 53. He landed 9 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. Green ended up landing 23 of 69 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 56 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Green connected on 23 of 69 and Gordon connected on 17 of 53 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Tim Elliott encounters Victor Altamirano. Elliott walks into the cage with a record of 19-12-1. The 36-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 66". Altamirano measures in at 5'8" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". When it comes to grappling, Tim Elliott takes his opponents down 3.73 times per 3 rds and Victor Altamirano is able to score a takedown 2.47 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Elliott lands an average of 3.58 strikes/min and lands 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Victor Altamirano, who tags his opponent on 58% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 6.15 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Guram Kutateladze is set to square up with Jamie Mullarkey. Mullarkey walks into the Octagon with a record of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Kutateladze stands 5'11" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 72". When it comes to takedowns, Jamie Mullarkey is able to defend against 72% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of his tries. Kutateladze is taking his opponents to the mat on 12% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 77% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Mullarkey is absorbing 4.28 strikes/min while he is dishing out 4.13 strikes per minute. Kutateladze, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.37 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.83 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jim Miller (+200)

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