Jim Miller vs Alexander Hernandez Pick, 2/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 69 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/14/2023

Jim Miller vs Alexander Hernandez

UFC Vegas 69

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 18, 2023

Jim Miller will battle Alexander Hernandez at UFC Vegas 69 on Saturday, February 18, 2023. The opener has Miller at +200 while Hernandez is priced at -240.

Jim "A-10" Miller will be looking to add a win to his career record of 35-16-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Alexander "The Great Ape" Hernandez stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Jim Miller lands 2.79 per min and Alexander Hernandez connects on 4.09 significant strikes per minute. Miller is landing 41% of the significant strikes he attempts while Hernandez lands 39%. In terms of defending in the cage, "A-10" allows 2.93 significant strikes per minute while "The Great Ape" absorbs 4.54. Miller also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Hernandez curbs 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jim Miller predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 69	Jim Miller	Alexander Hernandez
Opening Odds	+200	-240
Record	35-16-0 (1 NC)	13-6-0
Average Fight Time	9:42	8:17
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.79	4.09
Striking Accuracy	41%	39%

When it comes to wrestling, Jim Miller is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 1.62 times per 15 minutes. Miller is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of his attempts and stuffing 47% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Hernandez is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 61% of the tries against him. In terms of submissions, Miller is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.8 subs per 15 min while Hernandez tries 0.2 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jim Miller faced Donald Cerrone and wound up getting the victory by way of a guillotine choke in round 2. Cerrone ended up landing 24 of 36 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Miller walked away from this fight having landed 35 of 48 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Cerrone landed 21 of 33, which means his percentage was 63%. He landed 12 of 20 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Miller landed 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 36. Of those significant strikes, he landed 16 of 28 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Cerrone and 70% of them connected on by Miller were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Alexander Hernandez, he fought Billy Quarantillo and walked away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Quarantillo ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes at distance and Hernandez ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hernandez ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 48 of 94. He landed 33 of 70 significant strikes directed at the head. Quarantillo connected on 87 of 151 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 61 of 123 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Quarantillo ended up connecting on 127 of 194 while Hernandez connected on 59 of 105 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ovince Saint Preux squares up against Philipe Lins. Saint Preux holds a mark of 26-16-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 80". Lins comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-5-0. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 78". In the grappling category, Ovince Saint Preux scores a takedown 1.15 times per 15 minutes while Philipe Lins gets a takedown 1.84 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Saint Preux tags his opponents 2.72 strikes/minute and connecting on 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Philipe Lins, who lands 49% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.40 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Evan Elder is set to go up against Nazim Sadykhov. Sadykhov looks to add a victory to his total of 7-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 69". Elder stands in at 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 7-1-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of grappling, Nazim Sadykhov is stopping 77% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries. Elder is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and defends against 33% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Sadykhov is absorbing 2.59 strikes per min and he is connecting on 4.42 per min. Elder, on the other side, is absorbing 5.00 strikes per minute and is landing 1.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alexander Hernandez (-240)

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Jim Miller vs Alexander Hernandez Pick, 2/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 69 Odds

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