Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/28/2023

Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci

UFC 285

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 4, 2023

Jessica Penne will enter the Octagon with Tabatha Ricci at UFC 285 on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The moneyline has Penne coming in at +195 while Ricci is at -230.

Jessica Penne looks to add a win to her career total of 14-7-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Tabatha "Baby Shark" Ricci measures in at 5'1" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 7-1-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 61". With respect to significant strikes, Jessica Penne is connecting on 2.62 per min and Tabatha Ricci connects on 2.95 significant strikes per min. Penne is connecting on 32% of the significant strikes she attempts while Ricci is connecting on 37%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Penne takes 4.74 significant strikes per min and "Baby Shark" allows 4.89. Penne also deflects 47% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Ricci is able to stop 58% of the shots thrown in her direction.

UFC 285	Jessica Penne	Tabatha Ricci
Opening Odds	+195	-230
Record	14-7-0	7-1-0
Average Fight Time	11:46	12:40
Height	5'5"	5'1"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	67"	61"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.62	2.95
Striking Accuracy	32%	37%

In terms of grappling, Jessica Penne is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.39 times per 15 minutes. Penne is getting her opponent to the mat on 21% of the times she tries and defending 40% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Ricci is scoring a takedown on 45% of her takedown tries and thwarting 15% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Penne is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Ricci attempts 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Jessica Penne squared up with Emily Ducote and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Ducote landed 117 of 206 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Penne finished this fight landing 68 of 249 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ducote ended up landing 116 of 205, which gave her a rate of 56%. She ended up landing 41 of 113 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Penne landed 25% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 63 of 244. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 37 of 208 to the head. 99% of the significant strikes connected on by Ducote and 87% of them connected on by Penne were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tabatha Ricci, she went up against Polyana Viana and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Viana landed 80% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Ricci connected on 63% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Ricci landed 45% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 33 of 73. She ended up landing 11 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Viana ended up landing 36 of 97 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 18 of 74 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Viana connected on 126 of 212 while Ricci landed 72 of 126 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Jon Jones faces off against Ciryl Gane. Jones has a record of 26-1-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 84". Gane comes in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-1-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 81". In the wrestling category, Jon Jones gets a takedown 1.85 times per 3 rounds and Ciryl Gane takes his opponents to the mat 0.62 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Jones connects on 4.30 strikes/min and connecting on 57% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Ciryl Gane, who is landing 59% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.11 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Shavkat Rakhmonov is set to square up in the Octagon against Geoff Neal. Neal steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Rakhmonov measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of wrestling, Geoff Neal stops 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 44% of his tries. Rakhmonov is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his tries and is able to thwart 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Neal is absorbing 5.28 strikes per min and he is dealing 5.27 per min. Rakhmonov, on the contrary, is absorbing 1.39 strikes per min and dishes out 2.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jessica Penne (+195)

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Jessica Penne vs Tabatha Ricci Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

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