Jeremiah Wells vs Matthew Semelsberger Pick, 4/22/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 71 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/19/2023

Jeremiah Wells vs Matthew Semelsberger

UFC Vegas 71

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Jeremiah Wells will face off against Matthew Semelsberger at UFC Vegas 71 on Saturday, April 22, 2023. The opening moneyline has Wells at -115 while Semelsberger is at -105.

Jeremiah Wells comes into this bout with a record of 11-2-1. The 36-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 74". Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger stands in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Jeremiah Wells is landing 3.68 per min while Matthew Semelsberger is connecting on 4.60 significant strikes per minute. Wells is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts and Semelsberger is connecting on 42%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Wells takes 1.62 significant strikes per minute and "Semi The Jedi" allows 4.57. Wells also prevents 32% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Semelsberger is able to thwart 56% of them.

ufc picks Jeremiah Wells predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 71	Jeremiah Wells	Matthew Semelsberger
Opening Odds	-115	-105
Record	11-2-1	11-4-0
Average Fight Time	3:54	10:47
Height	5'9"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.68	4.60
Striking Accuracy	49%	42%

Regarding takedowns, Jeremiah Wells is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.28 times per 3 rounds. Wells is scoring a takedown on 12% of his attempts and stopping 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Semelsberger is finishing his takedown tries on 77% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Wells is the more able fighter by attempting 1.3 finishes per 3 rds while Semelsberger looks to get 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

The last time he fought, Jeremiah Wells squared up with Court McGee and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. McGee ended up landing 3 of 8 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Wells walked away from this fight having landed 7 of 16 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, McGee landed 3 of 8, which gave him a rate of 37%. He ended up landing 0 of 4 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Wells landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 7 of 16. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 16 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by McGee and 71% of them landed by Wells were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Matthew Semelsberger, he battled Jake Matthews and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Matthews connected on 93% of his significant strikes at distance and Semelsberger ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Semelsberger ended up connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 45 of 116. He landed 34 of 89 significant strikes aimed at the head. Matthews landed 32 of 89 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 23 of 77 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Matthews was 74 of 140 while Semelsberger landed 54 of 129 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ricky Glenn enters the Octagon with Christos Giagos. Glenn looks to add a victory to his record of 22-6-2. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Giagos stands 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 19-10-0. The 33-year-old reaches 71". In the grappling category, Ricky Glenn gets a takedown 0.57 times per 3 rounds and Christos Giagos takes his opponents down 3.21 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Glenn lands an average of 4.03 strikes per min and is landing 43% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Christos Giagos, who lands 41% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 2.81 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Montel Jackson is set to encounter Rani Yahya. Yahya comes into this fight with a record of 28-10-1 (1 NC). The 38-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Jackson measures in at 5'10" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 75". In terms of wrestling, Rani Yahya is thwarting 24% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his attempts. Jackson is taking his opponents to the mat on 71% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 67% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Yahya is taking 1.76 strikes/min and he is connecting on 1.58 per minute. Jackson, notwithstanding, takes 1.40 strikes per min and connects on 3.39 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Matthew Semelsberger (-105)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 22, 2024 @ 8:00 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Jeremiah Wells vs Matthew Semelsberger Pick, 4/22/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 71 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks