Jeremiah Wells vs Carlston Harris Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/31/2023

Jeremiah Wells vs Carlston Harris

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Jeremiah Wells will take on Carlston Harris at UFC Nashville on Saturday, August 5, 2023. The opener has Wells coming in at -155 while Harris is at +135.

Jeremiah Wells walks into the cage holding a record of 12-2-1. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 74". Carlston "Mocambique" Harris measures 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-5-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 76". In terms of significant strikes, Jeremiah Wells lands 2.96 per min and Carlston Harris connects on 4.14 significant strikes per min. Wells lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Harris connects on 52%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Wells allows 1.46 significant strikes per min while "Mocambique" takes 2.88. Wells also prevents 40% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Harris deflects 50% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Jeremiah Wells predictions best bet odds

UFC Nashville	Jeremiah Wells	Carlston Harris
Opening Odds	-155	+135
Record	12-2-1	18-5-0
Average Fight Time	6:41	6:10
Height	5'9"	6'0"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.96	4.14
Striking Accuracy	48%	52%

When it comes to grappling, Jeremiah Wells is the more apt wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.93 times per 3 rds. Wells is scoring a takedown on 38% of his tries and stuffing 85% of all takedown attempts. Harris is finishing his takedowns on 31% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 75% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Wells is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Harris looks to get 0.8 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jeremiah Wells faced Matthew Semelsberger and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Semelsberger landed 39 of 59 total strikes attempted in that fight. Wells walked away from this fight having landed 86 of 158 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Semelsberger ended up landing 20 of 37, which gave him a rate of 54%. He landed 17 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Wells landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 36 of 76. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 29 of 67 pointed at the head. 60% of the significant strikes landed by Semelsberger and 27% of them landed by Wells were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Carlston Harris, he faced off with Jared Gooden and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Gooden landed 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Harris landed 55% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Harris ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 63 of 110. He connected on 52 of 99 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gooden landed 51 of 84 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 22 of 49 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Gooden ended up connecting on 93 of 126 while Harris connected on 140 of 194 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Billy Quarantillo takes on Damon Jackson. Quarantillo looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-5-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Jackson comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his total of 22-5-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Billy Quarantillo takes his opponents to the mat 1.51 times per 3 rds while Damon Jackson gets a takedown 2.35 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Quarantillo connects on 7.86 strikes per min and landing 58% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Damon Jackson, who lands 40% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.78 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jake Hadley is set to battle Cody Durden. Durden steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-4-1. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 67". Hadley stands in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". Concerning wrestling, Cody Durden is thwarting 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 48% of the times he tries. Hadley is finishing his takedowns on 85% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 37% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Durden takes 3.21 strikes per minute while he dishes out 3.27 strikes/min. Hadley, at the same time, is absorbing 3.52 strikes/minute and connects on 4.21 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jeremiah Wells (-155)

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Jeremiah Wells vs Carlston Harris Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

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