Jennifer Maia vs Casey O'Neill Pick, 3/18/2023 Predictions UFC 286 Odds

Jennifer Maia vs Casey O'Neill

UFC 286

The O2 in London, England

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Jennifer Maia will battle Casey O'Neill at UFC 286 on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The opener has Maia coming in at +150 while O'Neill is coming in at -185.

Jennifer Maia steps into the cage holding a record of 20-9-1. The 34-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Casey "King" O'Neill measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-0-0. The 25-year-old reaches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Jennifer Maia connects on 3.98 per min and Casey O'Neill is connecting on 8.65 significant strikes per minute. Maia connects on 37% of the significant strikes she tries while O'Neill is landing 57%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Maia takes 4.35 significant strikes per min while "King" takes 4.68. Maia also defends 57% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while O'Neill is able to thwart 57% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Jennifer Maia is the lesser skilled grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Maia is finishing her takedown attempts on 30% of the times she tries and stuffing 55% of the takedowns her opponents try. O'Neill is scoring a takedown on 44% of her takedown tries and stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Maia is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.1 submissions per 15 min while O'Neill tries 1.0 submission per 15 min.

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In her previous fight, Jennifer Maia fought Maryna Moroz and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Moroz landed 84 of 276 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Maia finished this fight landing 117 of 261 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Moroz ended up landing 80 of 272, which gave her a percentage of 29%. She ended up landing 55 of 237 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Maia ended up landing 43% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 109 of 253. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 84 of 224 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Moroz and 92% of them landed by Maia were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Casey O'Neill, she battled Roxanne Modafferi and took home the win via split decision in round 3. Modafferi ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while O'Neill ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes she took from distance. O'Neill landed 58% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 229 of 393. She ended up connecting on 187 of 348 significant strikes directed at the head. Modafferi ended up connecting on 120 of 358 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 98 of 330 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go in that fight, Modafferi connected on 148 of 390 and O'Neill ended up connecting on 230 of 395 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Joanne Wood squares up with Luana Carolina. Wood steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-8-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Carolina measures 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 8-3-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 69". When it comes to grappling, Joanne Wood takes her opponents to the mat 1.53 times per 3 rds while Luana Carolina takes her opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Wood connects for an average of 6.76 strikes per min and connecting on 50% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Luana Carolina, who connects on 50% of the strikes she has thrown and connects for an average of 4.64 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Veronica Macedo is set to square up in the Octagon against Juliana Miller. Miller will be looking to add a victory to her record of 4-1-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Macedo measures 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 6-4-1. The 27-year-old reaches 64". Concerning wrestling, Juliana Miller deflects 15% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 85% of the times she tries. Macedo is taking her opponents down on 18% of her tries and defends against 46% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Miller takes 2.15 strikes per min while she is landing 3.87 strikes/min. Macedo, at the same time, is absorbing 5.06 strikes/min and is connecting on 3.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jennifer Maia (+150)

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