Jeka Saragih vs Lucas Alexander Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/15/2023

Jeka Saragih vs Lucas Alexander

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Jeka Saragih will enter the Octagon with Lucas Alexander at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The opener has Saragih priced at +285 while Alexander is coming in at -375.

Jeka Saragih looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Lucas "The Lion" Alexander comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 73". When talking about significant strikes, Jeka Saragih is landing 2.77 per min while Lucas Alexander connects on 5.05 significant strikes per minute. Saragih is landing 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Alexander connects on 53%. When it comes to defending themselves, Saragih allows 2.56 significant strikes per minute and "The Lion" absorbs 1.76. Saragih also curbs 42% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Alexander is able to deflect 72% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Jeka Saragih predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 82	Jeka Saragih	Lucas Alexander
Opening Odds	+285	-375
Record	13-3-0	8-3-0
Average Fight Time	7:56	8:31
Height	5'8"	5'11"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	69"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.77	5.05
Striking Accuracy	51%	53%

In the grappling category, Jeka Saragih is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 1.89 times per 3 rds. Saragih is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his tries and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Alexander is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 66% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Saragih is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Alexander attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Jeka Saragih squared up with Anshul Jubli and wound up walking away in defeat via an elbow to the head in round 2. Jubli landed 74 of 99 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Saragih walked away from this fight having landed 20 of 40 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jubli landed 38 of 51, which gave him a percentage of 74%. He finished the fight landing 36 of 47 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Saragih ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 14 of 25. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 10 to the head. 15% of the significant strikes landed by Jubli and 71% of them landed by Saragih were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Lucas Alexander, he battled Steven Peterson and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Peterson ended up connecting on 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Alexander landed 91% of his significant strikes at distance. Alexander connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 85 of 158. He ended up landing 43 of 108 significant strikes directed at the head. Peterson ended up connecting on 26 of 101 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 67 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Peterson connected on 27 of 102 and Alexander connected on 86 of 159 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Trey Ogden squares up against Nikolas Motta. Ogden walks into the cage with a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Motta measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Trey Ogden scores a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rounds and Nikolas Motta gets a takedown 0.20 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Ogden connects for an average of 3.42 strikes/min and connects on 41% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Nikolas Motta, who lands 34% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.40 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Rafael Estevam is set to face off against Charles Johnson. Johnson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 70". Estevam measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old reaches 69". Concerning grappling, Charles Johnson thwarts 54% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 14% of his tries. Estevam is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and is able to defend against 15% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Johnson is absorbing 3.75 strikes per minute and he lands 4.23 strikes per minute. Estevam, notwithstanding, absorbs 0.40 strikes/minute and deals 6.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lucas Alexander (-375)

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Jeka Saragih vs Lucas Alexander Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

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