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Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/24/2023

Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

Jan Blachowicz will face off against Alex Pereira at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The moneyline has Blachowicz priced at -120 while Pereira is at -110.

Jan Blachowicz walks into the cage holding a record of 29-9-1. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Alex "Poatan" Pereira measures 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 7-2-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz connects on 3.41 per min and Alex Pereira lands 5.23 significant strikes per minute. Blachowicz connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Pereira connects on 59%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Blachowicz absorbs 2.81 significant strikes per min while "Poatan" allows 3.76. Blachowicz also defends against 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Pereira stops 54% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jan Blachowicz ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 291 Jan Blachowicz Alex Pereira
Opening Odds -120 -110
Record 29-9-1 7-2-0
Average Fight Time 13:00 10:51
Height 6'2" 6'4"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 78" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.41 5.23
Striking Accuracy 49% 59%

 

Regarding takedowns, Jan Blachowicz is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.97 times per 15 min. Blachowicz is getting his opponent to the mat on 53% of the times he tries and is stopping 68% of all takedown tries against him. Pereira is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his takedown tries and defending 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Blachowicz is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Pereira goes for 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jan Blachowicz went up against Magomed Ankalaev and ended up in a draw via split decision in round 5. Ankalaev landed 191 of 312 total strikes attempted in that contest. Blachowicz finished this fight landing 79 of 141 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Ankalaev landed 78 of 184, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He finished the fight landing 49 of 139 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Blachowicz ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 55 of 117. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 19 of 71 pointed at the head. 64% of the significant strikes connected on by Ankalaev and 90% of them connected on by Blachowicz were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Alex Pereira, he faced off with Israel Adesanya and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Adesanya ended up landing 97% of his significant strikes at distance while Pereira ended up landing 97% of his significant strikes at distance. Pereira ended up connecting on 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 49 of 85. He connected on 8 of 28 significant strikes aimed at the head. Adesanya connected on 41 of 96 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 18 of 61 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Adesanya connected on 41 of 96 and Pereira landed 49 of 85 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Stephen Thompson enters the Octagon against Michel Pereira. Thompson will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-6-1. The 40-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Pereira stands in at 6'1" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 28-11-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of takedowns, Stephen Thompson scores a takedown 0.27 times per 3 rounds while Michel Pereira is averaging a takedown 1.58 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Thompson lands an average of 4.20 strikes per min and is landing 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Michel Pereira, who tags the opposition on 54% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.09 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Bobby Green is set to fight Tony Ferguson. Ferguson has a career mark of 26-8-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Green stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 29-14-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 71". Concerning grappling, Tony Ferguson is preventing 66% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of the times he tries. Green is finishing his takedowns on 37% of the attempts he tries and stops 72% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Ferguson absorbs 3.95 strikes per min and he connects on 5.07 per min. Green, in contrast, takes 3.67 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.97 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alex Pereira (-110)

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