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Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon Pick, 3/18/2023 Predictions UFC 286 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/14/2023

Jake Hadley vs Malcolm Gordon

UFC 286

The O2 in London, England

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Jake Hadley will battle Malcolm Gordon at UFC 286 on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The opener has Hadley priced at -375 while Gordon is priced at +290.

Jake "White Kong" Hadley steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Malcolm "X" Gordon measures 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In the category of significant strikes, Jake Hadley lands 4.02 per minute and Malcolm Gordon is landing 1.90 significant strikes per min. Hadley is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Gordon is landing 44%. When it comes to defending themselves, "White Kong" absorbs 3.54 significant strikes per min and "X" takes 2.04. Hadley also defends against 61% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Gordon is able to stop 41% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Jake Hadley predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 286 Jake Hadley Malcolm Gordon
Opening Odds -375 +290
Record 9-1-0 14-6-0
Average Fight Time 10:17 7:15
Height 5'7" 5'7"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 70" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.02 1.90
Striking Accuracy 48% 44%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Jake Hadley is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds. Hadley is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his attempts and stopping 37% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Gordon is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 9% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the submission, Hadley is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 1.9 subs per 15 minutes while Gordon goes for 0.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jake Hadley faced Carlos Candelario and took home the win via a triangle choke in round 2. Candelario ended up landing 69 of 148 total strikes attempted in that fight. Hadley walked away from this fight having landed 107 of 188 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Candelario ended up landing 69 of 148, which gave him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 31 of 100 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Hadley landed 53% of his significant strikes by connecting on 90 of 169. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 45 of 118 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Candelario and 72% of them connected on by Hadley were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Malcolm Gordon, he faced off with Muhammad Mokaev and took a loss on the night by an armbar in round 3. Mokaev ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Gordon connected on 29% of his significant strikes at distance. Gordon ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 38. He landed 15 of 35 significant strikes to the head. Mokaev ended up landing 21 of 30 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 22 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Mokaev ended up landing 119 of 130 and Gordon ended up landing 38 of 62 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jai Herbert faces off against Ludovit Klein. Herbert has a career record of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Klein measures 5'7" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 19-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". In the grappling category, Jai Herbert takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rounds while Ludovit Klein is able to score a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Herbert is connecting on 2.45 strikes/minute and is connecting on 41% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Ludovit Klein, who is landing 56% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.51 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Casey O'Neill is set to enter the Octagon with Jennifer Maia. Maia steps into the cage holding a record of 20-9-1. The 34-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". O'Neill measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-0-0. The 25-year-old reaches 69". Concerning wrestling, Jennifer Maia is able to defend against 55% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 30% of the times she tries. O'Neill is taking her opponents to the mat on 44% of the tries she takes and thwarts 60% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Maia takes 4.35 strikes/minute while she lands 3.98 strikes per min. O'Neill, on the other hand, takes 4.68 strikes per minute and deals 8.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Malcolm Gordon (+290)

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