Jafel Filho vs Daniel Barez Pick, 7/22/2023 Predictions UFC London Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/17/2023

Jafel Filho vs Daniel Barez

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, July 22, 2023

Jafel Filho will take on Daniel Barez at UFC London on Saturday, July 22, 2023. The opening moneyline has Filho priced at -115 while Barez is at -105.

Jafel "Pastor" Filho steps into the cage with a record of 14-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Daniel Barez stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 16-5-0. The 34-year-old stretches 66". Concerning significant strikes, Jafel Filho connects on 1.46 per min and Daniel Barez lands 3.47 significant strikes per min. Filho is connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he tries while Barez is connecting on 50%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Pastor" takes 1.92 significant strikes per minute and Barez allows 5.13. Filho also curbs 46% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Barez defends against 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Jafel Filho ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC London	Jafel Filho	Daniel Barez
Opening Odds	-115	-105
Record	14-3-0	16-5-0
Average Fight Time	13:02	15:00
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	68"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.46	3.47
Striking Accuracy	36%	50%

Concerning grappling, Jafel Filho is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.15 times per 15 min. Filho is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of his attempts and is stopping 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Barez is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Filho is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.7 finishes per 3 rds while Barez attempts 2.0 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Jafel Filho fought Muhammad Mokaev and wound up taking the loss by a neck crank in round 3. Mokaev ended up landing 79 of 104 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Filho ended the night having landed 54 of 87 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Mokaev ended up landing 16 of 30, which gave him a percentage of 53%. He landed 4 of 15 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Filho landed 24% of his significant strikes by sticking 9 of 37. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 23 aimed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Mokaev and 100% of them connected on by Filho were done at distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Barez, he squared up with Carlos Hernandez and ended up taking the loss via split decision in round 3. Hernandez ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Barez connected on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Barez connected on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 52 of 102. He connected on 25 of 66 significant strikes to the head. Hernandez connected on 77 of 166 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 40 of 118 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Hernandez connected on 100 of 199 and Barez landed 72 of 128 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Molly McCann enters the Octagon with Julija Stoliarenko. McCann holds a mark of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 62". Stoliarenko measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 10-8-2. The 30-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to grappling, Molly McCann is able to score a takedown 1.67 times per 3 rounds and Julija Stoliarenko takes her opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, McCann is connecting on 5.72 strikes per minute and landing 50% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Julija Stoliarenko, who is landing 41% of the strikes she attempts and lands 2.75 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Pannie Kianzad is set to face off against Ketlen Vieira. Vieira steps into the cage with a mark of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Kianzad comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 66". In the category of takedowns, Ketlen Vieira prevents 92% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 40% of her tries. Kianzad is taking her opponents to the mat on 30% of the tries she takes and is able to thwart 80% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Vieira is taking 4.16 strikes per minute while she is dealing 3.24 strikes/min. Kianzad, on the contrary, is taking 4.12 strikes/min and is dishing out 5.32 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Daniel Barez (-105)

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Jafel Filho vs Daniel Barez Pick, 7/22/2023 Predictions UFC London Odds

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