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Jack Jenkins vs Chepe Mariscal Pick, 9/9/2023 Predictions UFC 293 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/5/2023

Jack Jenkins vs Chepe Mariscal

UFC 293

Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia

Saturday, September 9, 2023

Jack Jenkins will battle Chepe Mariscal at UFC 293 on Saturday, September 9, 2023. The opener has Jenkins at -205 while Mariscal is at +175.

Jack "Phar" Jenkins steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'7". The switch fighter reaches 68". Chepe "Machine Gun" Mariscal comes in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 14-6-1. The 30-year-old stretches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Jack Jenkins is landing 4.34 per minute while Chepe Mariscal connects on 4.73 significant strikes per minute. Jenkins lands 61% of the significant strikes he throws and Mariscal is landing 60%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Phar" takes 2.79 significant strikes per min while "Machine Gun" takes 3.40. Jenkins also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Mariscal stops 59% of them.

ufc picks Jack Jenkins ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 293 Jack Jenkins Chepe Mariscal
Opening Odds -205 +175
Record 12-2-0 14-6-1
Average Fight Time 14:50 15:00
Height 5'7" 5'7"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 68" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.34 4.73
Striking Accuracy 61% 60%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Jack Jenkins is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 3.03 times per 3 rounds. Jenkins is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries and stuffing 81% of all takedown attempts. Mariscal is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 15% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Jenkins is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.6 subs per 15 min while Mariscal goes for 1.0 finish per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Jack Jenkins faced Jamall Emmers and ended up getting the victory in the fight by split decision in round 3. Emmers landed 76 of 185 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Jenkins walked away from this fight having landed 85 of 154 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Emmers ended up landing 57 of 155, which gave him a rate of 36%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 98 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Jenkins ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by connecting on 59 of 119. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 26 of 67 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Emmers and 89% of them connected on by Jenkins were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Chepe Mariscal, he fought Trevor Peek and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Peek ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Mariscal ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Mariscal ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 71 of 117. He landed 51 of 94 significant strikes directed at the head. Peek landed 51 of 125 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 25 of 91 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Peek ended up landing 65 of 140 and Mariscal was 145 of 203 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jamie Mullarkey fights John Makdessi. Mullarkey holds a mark of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Makdessi measures 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 18-8-0. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding grappling, Jamie Mullarkey is averaging a takedown 2.91 times per 3 rds and John Makdessi scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Mullarkey lands an average of 4.20 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is John Makdessi, who lands 50% of the strikes he attempts and lands 5.52 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Gabriel Miranda is set to fight Shane Young. Young walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-7-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Miranda measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 71". Regarding takedowns, Shane Young prevents 65% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 18% of his tries. Miranda is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the tries he takes and stops 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Young is absorbing 5.51 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 5.24 strikes/min. Miranda, on the contrary, takes 7.97 strikes/min and deals 3.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chepe Mariscal (+175)

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