Ismael Bonfim vs Terrance McKinney Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/17/2023

ufc picks Terrance McKinney Terrance McKinney ufcpredictions best bet odds

Ismael Bonfim vs Terrance McKinney

UFC 283

Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Ismael Bonfim will enter the Octagon against Terrance McKinney at UFC 283 on Saturday, January 21, 2023. The opening line has Bonfim coming in at +105 while McKinney is at -125.

Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-3-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Terrance "T. Wrecks" McKinney measures in at 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 13-4-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Ismael Bonfim is connecting on 5.67 per min while Terrance McKinney is landing 4.70 significant strikes per min. Bonfim is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he tries and McKinney connects on 56%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Marreta" absorbs 3.00 significant strikes per min while "T. Wrecks" absorbs 2.11. Bonfim also curbs 80% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while McKinney is able to defend against 53% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 283	Ismael Bonfim	Terrance McKinney
Opening Odds	+105	-125
Record	18-3-0	13-4-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	2:56
Height	5'8"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.67	4.70
Striking Accuracy	53%	56%

In the category of takedowns, Ismael Bonfim is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min. Bonfim is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times he tries and stopping 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. McKinney is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his takedown attempts and stopping 85% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Bonfim is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while McKinney goes for 2.0 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ismael Bonfim fought Nariman Abbasov and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Abbasov landed 45 of 225 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Bonfim walked away from this fight having landed 85 of 158 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Abbasov ended up landing 45 of 225, which means his percentage was 20%. He ended up landing 26 of 197 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Bonfim landed 53% of his significant strikes by connecting on 85 of 158. Of those significant strikes, he landed 63 of 133 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Abbasov and 90% of them connected on by Bonfim were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Terrance McKinney, he battled Erick Gonzalez and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Gonzalez connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while McKinney landed 77% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. McKinney ended up connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 18 of 37. He connected on 15 of 34 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gonzalez landed 9 of 16 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 6 of 11 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Gonzalez ended up landing 10 of 18 while McKinney ended up landing 23 of 42 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Warlley Alves squares up against Nicolas Dalby. Alves comes into this bout with a mark of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Dalby stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-4-1 (2 NC). The 38-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding grappling, Warlley Alves scores a takedown 1.42 times per 15 minutes while Nicolas Dalby takes his opponents to the canvas 1.22 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Alves is landing 3.07 strikes per min and is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Nicolas Dalby, who tags the opposition on 39% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.22 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Daniel Marcos is set to enter the Octagon with Saimon Oliveira. Oliveira comes into this fight holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Marcos comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-0-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of wrestling, Saimon Oliveira is able to deflect 31% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 42% of his attempts. Marcos is taking his opponents down on 10% of the tries he takes and defends against 84% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Oliveira is absorbing 3.10 strikes per min and he is connecting on 2.73 per minute. Marcos, in contrast, absorbs 3.00 strikes per min and deals 5.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ismael Bonfim (+105)

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Ismael Bonfim vs Terrance McKinney Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

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