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Ismael Bonfim vs Benoit Saint Denis Pick, 7/1/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 76 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/26/2023

Ismael Bonfim vs Benoit Saint Denis

UFC Vegas 76

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Ismael Bonfim will face off with Benoit Saint Denis at UFC Vegas 76 on Saturday, July 1, 2023. The odds have Bonfim at -333 while Denis is coming in at +250.

Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Benoit "God of War" Saint Denis stands in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Ismael Bonfim connects on 5.34 per minute while Benoit Saint Denis is landing 4.37 significant strikes per minute. Bonfim lands 57% of the significant strikes he attempts and Saint Denis is landing 52%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Marreta" allows 2.65 significant strikes per minute while "God of War" takes 6.72. Bonfim also thwarts 78% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Saint Denis is able to thwart 41% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Benoit Saint-Denis ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 76 Ismael Bonfim Benoit Saint Denis
Opening Odds -333 +250
Record 19-3-0 10-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 11:09 8:56
Height 5'8" 5'11"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.34 4.37
Striking Accuracy 57% 52%

 

Regarding grappling, Ismael Bonfim is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.35 times per 15 min. Bonfim is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of his tries and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Saint Denis is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Bonfim is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.7 finishes per 15 min while Saint Denis tries 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Ismael Bonfim went up against Terrance McKinney and wound up taking home the victory by a flying knee to the head in round 2. McKinney landed 20 of 55 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Bonfim ended the night having landed 38 of 53 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, McKinney landed 14 of 49, which means his percentage was 28%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 43 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bonfim landed 69% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 34 of 49. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 16 of 30 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by McKinney and 70% of them landed by Bonfim were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Benoit Saint Denis, he went up against Gabriel Miranda and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Miranda ended up connecting on 85% of his significant strikes at distance and Denis landed 57% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Denis landed 62% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 67. He connected on 35 of 59 significant strikes aimed at the head. Miranda connected on 20 of 37 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 13 of 30 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Miranda was 33 of 53 while Denis ended up landing 81 of 110 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kevin Lee opposes Rinat Fakhretdinov. Lee steps into the cage holding a record of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Fakhretdinov stands in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 20-1-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 74". Regarding grappling, Kevin Lee is averaging a takedown 3.19 times per 15 minutes and Rinat Fakhretdinov is able to score a takedown 6.00 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Lee lands 3.89 strikes per minute and lands 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Rinat Fakhretdinov, who is landing 68% of his attempted strikes and lands 2.93 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Elves Brener is set to square up against Guram Kutateladze. Kutateladze looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Brener measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 72". In the category of takedowns, Guram Kutateladze is preventing 77% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 12% of his attempts. Brener is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Kutateladze is absorbing 4.37 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.83 per min. Brener, in contrast, is taking 4.67 strikes per min and dishes out 4.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Benoit Saint Denis (+250)

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