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Ikram Aliskerov vs Warlley Alves Pick, 10/21/2023 Predictions UFC 294 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/17/2023

Ikram Aliskerov vs Warlley Alves

UFC 294

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 21, 2023

Ikram Aliskerov will enter the Octagon with Warlley Alves at UFC 294 on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The line has Aliskerov priced at -125 while Alves is priced at +390.

Ikram Aliskerov steps into the cage with a mark of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 76". Warlley Alves comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-6-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 72". In the category of significant strikes, Ikram Aliskerov is landing 6.25 per min while Warlley Alves connects on 3.21 significant strikes per min. Aliskerov is landing 60% of the significant strikes he throws while Alves connects on 47%. Regarding defense, Aliskerov allows 7.88 significant strikes per min while Alves allows 4.09. Aliskerov also prevents 40% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Alves is able to defend against 51% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Ikram Aliskerov ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 294 Ikram Aliskerov Warlley Alves
Opening Odds -125 +390
Record 14-1-0 15-6-0
Average Fight Time 2:10 10:09
Height 6'0" 5'11"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 76" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.25 3.21
Striking Accuracy 60% 47%

 

In terms of grappling, Ikram Aliskerov is the more capable wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.47 times per 3 rounds. Aliskerov is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his attempts and is defending 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Alves is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Aliskerov is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 3.5 submissions per 3 rds while Alves tries 0.9 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Ikram Aliskerov squared up with Phil Hawes and took home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Hawes ended up landing 17 of 28 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Aliskerov ended the night having landed 20 of 33 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Hawes landed 17 of 28, giving him a percentage of 60%. He ended up landing 4 of 14 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Aliskerov ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 33. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 13 of 24 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Hawes and 95% of them connected on by Aliskerov were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Warlley Alves, he battled Nicolas Dalby and was on the losing end of this fight via split decision in round 3. Dalby ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Alves landed 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Alves connected on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 66 of 144. He landed 45 of 117 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dalby landed 119 of 248 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 75 of 195 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Dalby connected on 167 of 298 and Alves ended up connecting on 75 of 153 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Said Nurmagomedov encounters Muin Gafurov. Nurmagomedov comes into this bout holding a record of 17-3-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Gafurov measures 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 68". Regarding grappling, Said Nurmagomedov takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 15 minutes while Muin Gafurov gets a takedown 2.50 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nurmagomedov connects on 3.54 strikes/min and landing 47% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Muin Gafurov, who lands 41% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.07 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Muhammad Mokaev is set to take on Tim Elliott. Elliott walks into the cage with a mark of 20-12-1. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Mokaev comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 10-0-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Concerning grappling, Tim Elliott defends against 60% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his attempts. Mokaev is taking his opponents down on 53% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Elliott is absorbing 2.76 strikes per minute while he dishes out 3.47 per min. Mokaev, notwithstanding, is taking 0.87 strikes per min and is dishing out 1.14 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Warlley Alves (+390)

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