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Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker Pick, 4/22/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 71 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/19/2023

Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker

UFC Vegas 71

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Iasmin Lucindo will face off with Brogan Walker at UFC Vegas 71 on Saturday, April 22, 2023. The line has Lucindo priced at -300 while Walker is priced at +240.

Iasmin Lucindo looks to add a victory to her total of 13-5-0. The 21-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Brogan "The Bear" Walker stands 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 8-3-0. The 34-year-old stretches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Iasmin Lucindo is connecting on 4.40 per min and Brogan Walker connects on 2.15 significant strikes per minute. Lucindo is connecting on 36% of the significant strikes she attempts and Walker lands 62%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Lucindo takes 5.73 significant strikes per minute and "The Bear" absorbs 3.87. Lucindo also prevents 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Walker is able to curb 36% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Iasmin Lucindo predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 71 Iasmin Lucindo Brogan Walker
Opening Odds -300 +240
Record 13-5-0 8-3-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 13:57
Height 5'3" 5'4"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 66" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.40 2.15
Striking Accuracy 36% 62%

 

When it comes to grappling, Iasmin Lucindo is averaging more takedowns in the cage as she is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Lucindo is scoring a takedown on 15% of her tries and is defending 15% of the takedowns her opponents try. Walker is scoring a takedown on 15% of her takedown tries and thwarting 15% of the attempts against her. Regarding subbing opponents, Lucindo is the more apt fighter by going for 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Walker attempts 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.

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In her previous fight, Iasmin Lucindo faced Yazmin Jauregui and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jauregui landed 87 of 219 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Lucindo ended the night having landed 66 of 181 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jauregui landed 86 of 218, which gave her a percentage of 39%. She landed 52 of 159 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lucindo ended up landing 36% of her significant strikes by connecting on 66 of 181. Of all the significant strikes, she was 42 of 148 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Jauregui and 96% of them landed by Lucindo were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Brogan Walker, she battled Juliana Miller and was defeated by an elbow to the head in round 3. Miller ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Walker connected on 93% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Walker landed 62% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 30 of 48. She ended up connecting on 16 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Miller landed 54 of 85 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 43 of 72 directed at the head. In regard to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Miller connected on 110 of 156 and Walker connected on 52 of 74 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sergei Pavlovich fights Curtis Blaydes. Pavlovich holds a record of 17-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 257 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 84". Blaydes stands in at 6'4" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 17-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 80". When it comes to grappling, Sergei Pavlovich takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 minutes while Curtis Blaydes is averaging a takedown 6.05 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Pavlovich connects for an average of 8.07 strikes per min and is landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Curtis Blaydes, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.54 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Bruno Silva is set to go up against Brad Tavares. Tavares will be looking to add a victory to his total of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Silva measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 22-8-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of grappling, Brad Tavares is stopping 80% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 26% of his tries. Silva is finishing his takedowns on 18% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 71% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Tavares takes 3.01 strikes/min and he is landing 3.30 strikes/minute. Silva, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.58 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.31 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Iasmin Lucindo (-300)

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