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Guram Kutateladze vs Elves Brener Pick, 7/1/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 76 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/26/2023

Guram Kutateladze vs Elves Brener

UFC Vegas 76

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Guram Kutateladze will enter the Octagon with Elves Brener at UFC Vegas 76 on Saturday, July 1, 2023. The line has Kutateladze coming in at -500 while Brener is at +350.

Guram "Georgian Viking" Kutateladze looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Elves Brener measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 14-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Guram Kutateladze connects on 3.83 per min while Elves Brener is landing 4.60 significant strikes per minute. Kutateladze is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Brener is connecting on 43%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Georgian Viking" allows 4.37 significant strikes per min and Brener allows 4.67. Kutateladze also curbs 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Brener stops 58% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Elves Brener ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 76 Guram Kutateladze Elves Brener
Opening Odds -500 +350
Record 12-3-0 14-3-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 15:00
Height 5'11" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.83 4.60
Striking Accuracy 42% 43%

 

When it comes to grappling, Guram Kutateladze is the more competent wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Kutateladze is taking his opponents to the canvas on 12% of the times he tries and is stopping 77% of the takedowns his opponents try. Brener is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Kutateladze is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Brener tries 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Guram Kutateladze squared up with Damir Ismagulov and ended up walking away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Ismagulov ended up landing 83 of 197 total strikes attempted in that fight. Kutateladze walked away from this fight having landed 80 of 190 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ismagulov landed 79 of 192, which means his percentage was 41%. He ended up landing 63 of 173 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Kutateladze landed 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 187. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 29 of 129 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Ismagulov and 82% of them landed by Kutateladze were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Elves Brener, he battled Zubaira Tukhugov and ended up getting the victory by split decision in round 3. Tukhugov landed 97% of his significant strikes at distance and Brener connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brener ended up connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 69 of 157. He ended up landing 30 of 101 significant strikes directed at the head. Tukhugov connected on 70 of 169 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 64 of 160 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Tukhugov ended up landing 73 of 172 and Brener ended up connecting on 82 of 170 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alexandr Romanov meets Blagoy Ivanov. Romanov has a mark of 16-2-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 262 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Ivanov measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-5-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding grappling, Alexandr Romanov is able to score a takedown 4.96 times per 15 minutes while Blagoy Ivanov scores a takedown 0.78 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Romanov is landing 3.62 strikes/min and is landing 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Blagoy Ivanov, who lands 40% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.29 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Melissa Gatto is set to square up with Ariane Lipski. Lipski walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-8-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Gatto stands 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 8-1-2. The 27-year-old stretches 69". Regarding wrestling, Ariane Lipski stops 73% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 42% of her tries. Gatto is taking her opponents to the mat on 33% of the tries she takes and is able to stop 70% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Lipski is taking 3.97 strikes per minute while she is landing 3.86 per minute. Gatto, on the contrary, takes 2.60 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.27 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Elves Brener (+350)

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