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Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Pick, 10/7/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 80 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/2/2023

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green

UFC Vegas 80

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 7, 2023

Grant Dawson will face off with Bobby Green at UFC Vegas 80 on Saturday, October 7, 2023. The line has Dawson priced at -425 while Green is coming in at +300.

Grant "KGD" Dawson steps into the cage with a record of 20-1-1. The 29-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Bobby "King" Green measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 30-14-1 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has an arm span of 71". Concerning significant strikes, Grant Dawson lands 2.99 per min while Bobby Green lands 6.14 significant strikes per min. Dawson is landing 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Green connects on 52%. In terms of defending in the cage, "KGD" allows 2.22 significant strikes per min and "King" allows 3.67. Dawson also stops 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Green is able to defend against 62% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Bobby Green predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 80 Grant Dawson Bobby Green
Opening Odds -425 +300
Record 20-1-1 30-14-1 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 12:10 11:57
Height 5'10" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.99 6.14
Striking Accuracy 51% 52%

 

When it comes to grappling, Grant Dawson is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.70 times per 15 minutes. Dawson is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his attempts and stuffing 40% of the tries against him. Green is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his takedown tries and is stopping 74% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.5 finishes per 15 min while Green tries 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Grant Dawson fought Damir Ismagulov and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ismagulov landed 35 of 54 total strikes attempted in that contest. Dawson walked away from this fight having landed 84 of 128 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Ismagulov ended up landing 13 of 28, which gave him a percentage of 46%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 19 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Dawson landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 30 of 57. Out of those significant strikes, he was 28 of 48 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Ismagulov and 30% of them landed by Dawson were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Bobby Green, he squared up with Tony Ferguson and ended up getting the win by an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Ferguson connected on 92% of his significant strikes at distance and Green ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Green ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 137 of 217. He landed 95 of 166 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ferguson ended up landing 54 of 123 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 38 of 98 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Ferguson ended up connecting on 62 of 138 while Green ended up connecting on 145 of 227 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Joe Pyfer squares up against Abdul Razak Alhassan. Pyfer has a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Razak Alhassan stands in at 5'10" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of takedowns, Joe Pyfer gets a takedown 1.65 times per 3 rounds and Abdul Razak Alhassan is averaging a takedown 0.97 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Pyfer is connecting on 3.63 strikes per min and is landing 46% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Abdul Razak Alhassan, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.54 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joaquin Buckley is set to clash with Alex Morono. Morono comes into this fight with a record of 23-8-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Buckley measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 76". When it comes to takedowns, Alex Morono is able to stop 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his tries. Buckley is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his attempts and thwarts 66% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Morono absorbs 4.14 strikes per min while he connects on 5.20 strikes/minute. Buckley, in contrast, absorbs 3.42 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.76 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-425)

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