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Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/4/2023

Gilbert Burns vs Jorge Masvidal

UFC 287

Miami-Dade Arena in Miami, FL

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Gilbert Burns will battle Jorge Masvidal at UFC 287 on Saturday, April 8, 2023. The opener has Burns coming in at -450 while Masvidal is coming in at +360.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns will be looking to add a win to his career total of 21-5-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 35-16-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Gilbert Burns lands 3.42 per min and Jorge Masvidal connects on 4.11 significant strikes per min. Burns is landing 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Masvidal is connecting on 48%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Durinho" absorbs 3.17 significant strikes per minute while "Gamebred" allows 3.06. Burns also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Masvidal stops 64% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Gilbert Burns predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 287 Gilbert Burns Jorge Masvidal
Opening Odds -450 +360
Record 21-5-0 35-16-0
Average Fight Time 11:16 13:32
Height 5'10" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 71" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.42 4.11
Striking Accuracy 48% 48%

 

Concerning grappling, Gilbert Burns is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.03 times per 3 rds. Burns is scoring a takedown on 35% of the times he tries and stuffing 47% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Masvidal is finishing his takedowns on 59% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 74% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Burns is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rds while Masvidal goes for 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Gilbert Burns went up against Neil Magny and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of an arm triangle in round 1. Magny landed 4 of 11 total strikes that he let go. Burns ended the night having landed 10 of 12 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Magny ended up landing 4 of 11, which gave him a percentage of 36%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 8 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Burns ended up landing 83% of his significant strikes by landing 5 of 6. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 5 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Magny and 60% of them landed by Burns were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jorge Masvidal, he squared up with Colby Covington and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Covington ended up landing 67% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Masvidal connected on 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Masvidal connected on 47% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 67 of 140. He connected on 38 of 94 significant strikes to the head. Covington connected on 94 of 201 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 84 of 190 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Covington connected on 218 of 338 while Masvidal was 90 of 166 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Rob Font goes up against Adrian Yanez. Font steps into the cage with a mark of 19-6-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Yanez measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Rob Font gets his opposition to the mat 1.03 times per 3 rds while Adrian Yanez is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Font connects on 6.38 strikes/min and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Adrian Yanez, who is connecting on 40% of his attempted strikes and connects on 6.62 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Santiago Ponzinibbio is set to clash with Kevin Holland. Holland holds a career mark of 23-9-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 81". Ponzinibbio stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 30-6-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding takedowns, Kevin Holland deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 41% of his attempts. Ponzinibbio is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his attempts and thwarts 60% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Holland takes 2.96 strikes per minute and he deals 4.06 strikes/min. Ponzinibbio, at the same time, absorbs 4.65 strikes/minute and is dishing out 5.02 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jorge Masvidal (+360)

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