Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/28/2023

Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov

UFC 285

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 4, 2023

Geoff Neal will enter the Octagon against Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 285 on Saturday, March 4, 2023. The opening odds have Neal priced at +400 while Rakhmonov is at -500.

Geoff "Handz of Steel" Neal steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Shavkat "Nomad" Rakhmonov measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Geoff Neal is landing 5.27 per minute and Shavkat Rakhmonov is connecting on 2.54 significant strikes per minute. Neal lands 51% of the significant strikes he throws while Rakhmonov connects on 53%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Handz of Steel" takes 5.28 significant strikes per min and "Nomad" absorbs 1.39. Neal also deflects 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Rakhmonov prevents 55% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Geoff Neal predictions best bet odds

UFC 285	Geoff Neal	Shavkat Rakhmonov
Opening Odds	+400	-500
Record	15-4-0	16-0-0
Average Fight Time	10:14	6:30
Height	5'11"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.27	2.54
Striking Accuracy	51%	53%

When it comes to wrestling, Geoff Neal is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.59 times per 15 minutes. Neal is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of the times he tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Rakhmonov is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing the opposition, Neal is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.1 finishes per 15 min while Rakhmonov goes for 1.7 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Geoff Neal went up against Vicente Luque and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 3. Luque landed 97 of 203 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Neal finished this fight landing 125 of 215 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Luque ended up landing 97 of 203, giving him a percentage of 47%. He finished the fight landing 56 of 156 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Neal ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 121 of 211. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 113 of 202 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Luque and 85% of them connected on by Neal were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Shavkat Rakhmonov, he squared up with Neil Magny and ended up winning this fight by guillotine choke in round 2. Magny landed 72% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Rakhmonov ended up landing 26% of his significant strikes at distance. Rakhmonov ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 19 of 36. He ended up landing 17 of 34 significant strikes aimed at the head. Magny ended up connecting on 11 of 22 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 6 of 16 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Magny connected on 21 of 35 while Rakhmonov connected on 56 of 79 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mateusz Gamrot squares up against Jalin Turner. Gamrot looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Turner comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-5-0. The 27-year-old reaches 77". Regarding grappling, Mateusz Gamrot takes his opponents to the mat 4.66 times per 15 minutes and Jalin Turner takes his opponents to the mat 1.14 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gamrot is landing 3.26 strikes per minute and connects on 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Jalin Turner, who lands 47% of his attempted strikes and lands 6.48 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jamie Pickett is set to battle Bo Nickal. Nickal will be looking to add a win to his career total of 3-0-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Pickett stands 6'2" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-8-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 80". In terms of wrestling, Bo Nickal is able to stop 15% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of his tries. Pickett is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of the attempts he tries and deflects 65% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Nickal is absorbing 0.00 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.68 strikes per min. Pickett, in contrast, absorbs 4.36 strikes per minute and connects on 3.25 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Shavkat Rakhmonov (-500)

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Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Pick, 3/4/2023 Predictions UFC 285 Odds

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