Evan Elder vs Genaro Valdez Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/10/2023

Evan Elder vs Genaro Valdez

UFC Vegas 77

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 15, 2023

Evan Elder will battle Genaro Valdez at UFC Vegas 77 on Saturday, July 15, 2023. The opening line has Elder priced at -300 while Valdez is priced at +240.

Evan "The Phenom" Elder holds a mark of 7-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Genaro "Rayadito" Valdez stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Evan Elder is connecting on 3.78 per min and Genaro Valdez is landing 3.96 significant strikes per min. Elder lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Valdez lands 32%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Phenom" allows 5.42 significant strikes per min while "Rayadito" allows 7.63. Elder also defends against 43% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Valdez stops 47% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Genaro Valdez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 77	Evan Elder	Genaro Valdez
Opening Odds	-300	+240
Record	7-2-0	10-2-0
Average Fight Time	12:49	8:00
Height	5'10"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.78	3.96
Striking Accuracy	48%	32%

When it comes to wrestling, Evan Elder is the lesser skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.59 times per 15 minutes. Elder is taking his opponents to the canvas on 12% of his attempts and is defending 28% of all takedown tries against him. Valdez is taking his opponents down on 44% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Elder is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Valdez tries 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Evan Elder squared up with Nazim Sadykhov and ended up walking away in defeat by TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 3. Sadykhov ended up landing 71 of 141 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Elder walked away from this fight having landed 84 of 158 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Sadykhov landed 64 of 132, which gave him a percentage of 48%. He ended up landing 38 of 103 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Elder landed 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 70 of 142. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 25 of 87 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Sadykhov and 85% of them connected on by Elder were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Genaro Valdez, he squared up with Natan Levy and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Levy ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Valdez landed 83% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valdez landed 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 49 of 158. He connected on 26 of 121 significant strikes aimed at the head. Levy ended up landing 67 of 135 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 79 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Levy was 69 of 137 and Valdez landed 62 of 173 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alexander Munoz enters the Octagon against Carl Deaton. Munoz has a mark of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 72". Deaton measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-6-0 (2 NC). The 33-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Munoz is able to score a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes and Carl Deaton is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Munoz connects for an average of 3.96 strikes per minute and lands 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Carl Deaton, who lands 8% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 0.10 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Mayra Bueno Silva is set to take on Holly Holm. Holm holds a mark of 15-6-0. The 41-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 69". Bueno Silva measures 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 10-2-1. The 31-year-old stretches 66". Concerning grappling, Holly Holm prevents 78% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 31% of her tries. Bueno Silva is finishing her takedown tries on 50% of her tries and is able to thwart 67% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Holm absorbs 2.77 strikes per min while she is landing 3.17 strikes per min. Bueno Silva, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.71 strikes per min and dishes out 4.20 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Evan Elder (-300)

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Evan Elder vs Genaro Valdez Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

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