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Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/30/2023

Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics

UFC Sao Paulo

Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil

Saturday, November 4, 2023

Elves Brener will enter the Octagon against Esteban Ribovics at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The opening moneyline has Brener coming in at -155 while Ribovics is priced at +130.

Elves Brener comes into this bout with a record of 15-3-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Esteban "El Gringo" Ribovics stands 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Elves Brener lands 4.74 per min and Esteban Ribovics connects on 6.16 significant strikes per min. Brener lands 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Ribovics is landing 52%. Regarding defense, Brener absorbs 5.48 significant strikes per minute while "El Gringo" allows 3.40. Brener also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Ribovics curbs 52% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Elves Brener ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Sao Paulo Elves Brener Esteban Ribovics
Opening Odds -155 +130
Record 15-3-0 12-1-0
Average Fight Time 14:09 10:30
Height 5'10" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.74 6.16
Striking Accuracy 46% 52%

 

Regarding grappling, Elves Brener is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.06 times per 15 min. Brener is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his attempts and stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Ribovics is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his takedown attempts and is defending 60% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Brener is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Ribovics goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Elves Brener squared up with Guram Kutateladze and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Kutateladze ended up landing 99 of 177 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Brener walked away from this fight having landed 93 of 165 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kutateladze ended up landing 85 of 163, which means his percentage was 52%. He landed 49 of 114 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Brener landed 49% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 65 of 132. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 42 of 101 aimed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes connected on by Kutateladze and 81% of them landed by Brener were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Esteban Ribovics, he battled Kamuela Kirk and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Kirk ended up landing 91% of his significant strikes at distance and Ribovics landed 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ribovics ended up connecting on 56% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 115 of 202. He landed 94 of 177 significant strikes to the head. Kirk landed 56 of 107 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 36 of 84 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Kirk landed 86 of 147 and Ribovics landed 135 of 224 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Victor Hugo squares up in the Octagon against Daniel Marcos. Hugo has a career record of 24-4-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Marcos comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-0-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Victor Hugo is able to score a takedown 2.06 times per 3 rds and Daniel Marcos takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Hugo connects on 1.24 strikes per min and connecting on 34% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Daniel Marcos, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.88 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Rinat Fakhretdinov is set to go up against Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Zaleski dos Santos steps into the cage holding a record of 24-7-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Fakhretdinov measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 21-1-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning grappling, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is able to stop 65% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 14% of his attempts. Fakhretdinov is taking his opponents down on 63% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Zaleski dos Santos takes 3.10 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 4.48 strikes per minute. Fakhretdinov, on the contrary, is absorbing 0.78 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.20 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Elves Brener (-155)

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