Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Rinat Fakhretdinov Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Rinat Fakhretdinov
UFC Sao Paulo
Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil
Saturday, November 4, 2023
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos will enter the Octagon against Rinat Fakhretdinov at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The opening line has Santos priced at +275 while Fakhretdinov is at -345.
Elizeu "Capoeira" Zaleski dos Santos steps into the cage holding a record of 24-7-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Rinat "Gladiator" Fakhretdinov measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 21-1-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 74". When talking about significant strikes, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos lands 4.48 per min while Rinat Fakhretdinov connects on 3.20 significant strikes per minute. Zaleski dos Santos connects on 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Fakhretdinov lands 67%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Capoeira" takes 3.10 significant strikes per min while "Gladiator" absorbs 0.78. Zaleski dos Santos also curbs 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Fakhretdinov is able to defend against 57% of them.
| UFC Sao Paulo | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Rinat Fakhretdinov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +275 | -345 |
| Record | 24-7-0 | 21-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:21 | 10:18 |
| Height | 5'11" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.48 | 3.20 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 67% |
In the category of takedowns, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.47 times per 15 min. Zaleski dos Santos is getting his opponent to the mat on 14% of his tries and defending 65% of all takedown attempts. Fakhretdinov is scoring a takedown on 63% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Zaleski dos Santos is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Fakhretdinov goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos went up against Abubakar Nurmagomedov and wound up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Nurmagomedov landed 48 of 76 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Santos ended the night having landed 50 of 132 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Nurmagomedov landed 29 of 54, which gave him a rate of 53%. He ended up landing 13 of 37 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Santos landed 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 42 of 113. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 75 to the head. 79% of the significant strikes landed by Nurmagomedov and 64% of them connected on by Santos were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Rinat Fakhretdinov, he battled Kevin Lee and wound up taking home the win via guillotine choke in round 1. Lee ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Fakhretdinov landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Fakhretdinov landed 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 11 of 17. He ended up landing 6 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lee ended up connecting on 3 of 8 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 3 of 8 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Lee was 3 of 8 and Fakhretdinov ended up connecting on 11 of 17 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Vitor Petrino takes on Modestas Bukauskas. Petrino steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Bukauskas comes in at 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 78". When it comes to grappling, Vitor Petrino takes his opponents down 4.42 times per 3 rds and Modestas Bukauskas takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Petrino lands 3.35 strikes/minute and landing 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Modestas Bukauskas, who is landing 40% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.46 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when David Onama is set to battle Lucas Alexander. Alexander comes into this bout holding a record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Onama measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 74". In terms of grappling, Lucas Alexander prevents 66% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries. Onama is taking his opponents to the mat on 18% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 45% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Alexander is taking 1.76 strikes/min and he is dealing 5.05 per min. Onama, in contrast, is absorbing 5.48 strikes per minute and is connecting on 5.38 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+275)
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