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Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda Pick, 9/16/2023 Predictions Noche UFC Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/11/2023

Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda

Noche UFC

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 16, 2023

Edgar Chairez will enter the Octagon against Daniel Lacerda at Noche UFC on Saturday, September 16, 2023. The opening moneyline has Chairez priced at -218 while Lacerda is at +180.

Edgar "Pitbull" Chairez has a career record of 10-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Daniel "Miojo" Lacerda stands in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-5-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Edgar Chairez is landing 2.53 per minute while Daniel Lacerda is connecting on 4.75 significant strikes per min. Chairez is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Lacerda is connecting on 48%. Regarding defense, "Pitbull" takes 4.67 significant strikes per min and "Miojo" allows 9.76. Chairez also deflects 39% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Lacerda is able to stop 34% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Edgar Chairez ufc predictions best bet odds

 

Noche UFC Edgar Chairez Daniel Lacerda
Opening Odds -218 +180
Record 10-5-0 11-5-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 4:57
Height 5'7" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 71" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.53 4.75
Striking Accuracy 46% 48%

 

In terms of wrestling, Edgar Chairez is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Chairez is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and defending 44% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Lacerda is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Chairez is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 1.0 sub per 15 min while Lacerda looks to get 1.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Edgar Chairez squared up with Tatsuro Taira and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Taira landed 121 of 148 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Chairez walked away from this fight having landed 26 of 39 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Taira landed 61 of 78, which gave him a rate of 78%. He ended up landing 40 of 54 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Chairez ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 25 of 38. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 15 of 23 pointed at the head. 42% of the significant strikes landed by Taira and 100% of them landed by Chairez were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Daniel Lacerda, he squared up with CJ Vergara and ended up losing the fight by an elbow to the head in round 2. Vergara ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes at distance while Lacerda landed 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lacerda ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 48 of 117. He landed 32 of 94 significant strikes directed at the head. Vergara ended up landing 83 of 144 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 57 of 103 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Vergara was 98 of 164 and Lacerda was 51 of 120 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Alexa Grasso enters the Octagon with Valentina Shevchenko. Grasso steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Shevchenko measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 23-4-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 66". In the grappling category, Alexa Grasso gets a takedown 0.38 times per 15 minutes and Valentina Shevchenko takes her opponents to the canvas 2.57 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Grasso tags his opponents 4.88 strikes/min and connecting on 43% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Valentina Shevchenko, who lands 53% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.29 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Elise Reed is set to square up with Loopy Godinez. Godinez steps into the cage with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Reed measures 5'3" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 7-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 63". In terms of grappling, Loopy Godinez is preventing 81% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 43% of her tries. Reed is taking her opponents down on 75% of the tries she takes and curbs 50% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Godinez takes 3.77 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.16 strikes/min. Reed, at the same time, absorbs 3.14 strikes per min and lands 2.95 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Daniel Lacerda (+180)

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