Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda Pick, 10/14/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 81 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/9/2023

Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda

UFC Vegas 81

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 14, 2023

Edgar Chairez will take on Daniel Lacerda at UFC Vegas 81 on Saturday, October 14, 2023. The moneyline has Chairez priced at -278 while Lacerda is priced at +225.

Edgar "Puro Chicali" Chairez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Daniel "Miojo" Lacerda measures in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning significant strikes, Edgar Chairez connects on 2.60 per minute and Daniel Lacerda connects on 4.16 significant strikes per min. Chairez is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Lacerda connects on 47%. Regarding defense, "Puro Chicali" takes 4.26 significant strikes per min and "Miojo" takes 8.70. Chairez also prevents 41% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Lacerda is able to deflect 34% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Edgar Chairez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 81	Edgar Chairez	Daniel Lacerda
Opening Odds	-278	+225
Record	10-5-0 (1 NC)	11-5-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	11:16	4:43
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	71"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.60	4.16
Striking Accuracy	48%	47%

In the grappling category, Edgar Chairez is the lesser skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. Chairez is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his attempts and defending 45% of all takedown tries against him. Lacerda is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Chairez is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.3 subs per 15 minutes while Lacerda goes for 1.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Edgar Chairez squared up with Daniel Lacerda and the fight ended in a no contest via an overturned guillotine win for Chairez in round 1. Lacerda landed 8 of 18 total strikes attempted in that contest. Chairez walked away from this fight having landed 12 of 20 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lacerda ended up landing 4 of 14, which means his percentage was 28%. He ended up landing 1 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Chairez landed 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 12 of 20. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 0 of 6 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Lacerda and 100% of them connected on by Chairez were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Daniel Lacerda, he went up against Edgar Chairez and the fight ended in a no contest via an overturned guillotine win for Chairez in round 1. Chairez ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Lacerda connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lacerda ended up connecting on 28% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 4 of 14. He connected on 1 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Chairez ended up landing 12 of 20 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 0 of 6 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Chairez was 12 of 20 while Lacerda connected on 8 of 18 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Christian Rodriguez squares up with Cameron Saaiman. Rodriguez comes into this bout with a mark of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Saaiman comes in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 22-year-old has a reach of 67". Regarding grappling, Christian Rodriguez takes his opponents to the mat 0.92 times per 15 min while Cameron Saaiman scores a takedown 1.33 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Rodriguez is landing 2.89 strikes per minute and lands 43% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Cameron Saaiman, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 5.41 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when TJ Brown is set to square up in the Octagon against Darren Elkins. Elkins has a record of 27-11-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Brown stands 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-10-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of takedowns, Darren Elkins deflects 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 34% of his tries. Brown is taking his opponents down on 55% of his attempts and prevents 36% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Elkins absorbs 3.35 strikes per min while he connects on 3.53 per min. Brown, notwithstanding, is taking 3.14 strikes per min and deals 3.63 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Daniel Lacerda (+225)

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Edgar Chairez vs Daniel Lacerda Pick, 10/14/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 81 Odds

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