Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/24/2023

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

Dustin Poirier will battle Justin Gaethje at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The line has Poirier coming in at -145 while Gaethje is at +125.

Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier steps into the cage with a record of 29-7-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 24-4-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of significant strikes, Dustin Poirier connects on 5.51 per min while Justin Gaethje lands 7.38 significant strikes per min. Poirier is landing 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Gaethje is landing 60%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Diamond" takes 4.25 significant strikes per min while "The Highlight" takes 7.66. Poirier also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Gaethje stops 53% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Dustin Poirier ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 291	Dustin Poirier	Justin Gaethje
Opening Odds	-145	+125
Record	29-7-0 (1 NC)	24-4-0
Average Fight Time	10:06	10:06
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.51	7.38
Striking Accuracy	50%	60%

In the grappling category, Dustin Poirier is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.39 times per 15 minutes. Poirier is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of his attempts and stopping 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Gaethje is scoring a takedown on 25% of his takedown attempts and stopping 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Poirier is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.2 submissions per 3 rds while Gaethje goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Dustin Poirier fought Michael Chandler and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Chandler ended up landing 65 of 135 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Poirier finished this fight landing 63 of 105 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Chandler landed 43 of 100, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 32 of 80 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Poirier landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 38 of 76. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 34 of 71 pointed at the head. 58% of the significant strikes landed by Chandler and 84% of them connected on by Poirier were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Justin Gaethje, he went up against Rafael Fiziev and took home the win by majority decision in round 3. Fiziev ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gaethje connected on 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gaethje connected on 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 103 of 171. He ended up connecting on 81 of 142 significant strikes to the head. Fiziev connected on 97 of 169 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 38 of 100 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Fiziev ended up connecting on 97 of 169 and Gaethje connected on 106 of 174 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jan Blachowicz enters the Octagon against Alex Pereira. Blachowicz walks into the cage holding a record of 29-9-1. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Pereira measures 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 7-2-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 79". When it comes to grappling, Jan Blachowicz scores a takedown 0.97 times per 3 rds and Alex Pereira takes his opponents to the canvas 0.28 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Blachowicz is landing 3.41 strikes/min and lands 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Alex Pereira, who is landing 59% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.23 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Michel Pereira is set to go up against Stephen Thompson. Thompson will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-6-1. The 40-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Pereira stands in at 6'1" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 28-11-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning wrestling, Stephen Thompson curbs 64% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 41% of his attempts. Pereira is taking his opponents down on 55% of the tries he takes and curbs 94% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Thompson is absorbing 3.04 strikes per min and he is connecting on 4.20 strikes per minute. Pereira, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.78 strikes/min and lands 5.09 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dustin Poirier (-145)

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Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

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