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Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/1/2023

Drew Dober vs Matt Frevola

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Drew Dober will take on Matt Frevola at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The moneyline has Dober coming in at -225 while Frevola is coming in at +185.

Drew Dober walks into the Octagon with a record of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Matt "The SteamRolla" Frevola measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 10-3-1. The 32-year-old stretches 71". With respect to significant strikes, Drew Dober is landing 4.47 per minute while Matt Frevola is landing 3.46 significant strikes per min. Dober lands 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Frevola connects on 41%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Dober takes 4.40 significant strikes per min while "The SteamRolla" absorbs 3.49. Dober also defends 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Frevola is able to curb 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Drew Dober predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 288 Drew Dober Matt Frevola
Opening Odds -225 +185
Record 26-11-0 (1 NC) 10-3-1
Average Fight Time 8:03 8:23
Height 5'8" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.47 3.46
Striking Accuracy 40% 41%

 

In the wrestling category, Drew Dober is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.71 times per 3 rounds. Dober is getting his opponent to the mat on 17% of his tries and stuffing 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Frevola is taking his opponents down on 37% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 42% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Dober is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Frevola attempts 1.0 finish per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Drew Dober squared up with Bobby Green and took home the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Green landed 75 of 145 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Dober ended the night having landed 34 of 121 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Green ended up landing 73 of 142, which gave him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 50 of 113 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Dober landed 28% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 34 of 121. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 86 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Green and 97% of them landed by Dober were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Matt Frevola, he squared up with Ottman Azaitar and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Azaitar connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Frevola connected on 63% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Frevola landed 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 11 of 27. He ended up landing 10 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Azaitar landed 10 of 22 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 6 of 17 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Azaitar landed 11 of 23 and Frevola connected on 12 of 28 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kennedy Nzechukwu fights Devin Clark. Nzechukwu has a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 83". Clark stands 6'0" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 14-7-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". In the grappling category, Kennedy Nzechukwu takes his opponents to the mat 0.74 times per 3 rds and Devin Clark takes his opponents to the mat 2.36 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nzechukwu lands 4.63 strikes per min and is landing 44% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Devin Clark, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 2.91 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ikram Aliskerov is set to clash with Phil Hawes. Hawes looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Aliskerov stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 76". Concerning grappling, Phil Hawes is able to deflect 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his attempts. Aliskerov is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Hawes is taking 3.49 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.46 strikes/min. Aliskerov, on the contrary, is taking 7.91 strikes per min and lands 3.26 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Drew Dober (-225)

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