Dooho Choi vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 2/4/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 68 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/31/2023

ufc picks Kyle Nelson predictions best bet odds

Dooho Choi vs Kyle Nelson

UFC Vegas 68

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 4, 2023

Dooho Choi will enter the Octagon with Kyle Nelson at UFC Vegas 68 on Saturday, February 4, 2023. The opener has Choi coming in at -190 while Nelson is priced at +160.

Dooho "The Korean Superboy" Choi walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Kyle "The Monster" Nelson measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 71". With respect to significant strikes, Dooho Choi lands 5.32 per minute and Kyle Nelson connects on 3.34 significant strikes per min. Choi lands 51% of the significant strikes he throws while Nelson connects on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Korean Superboy" allows 6.38 significant strikes per min while "The Monster" allows 5.39. Choi also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Nelson is able to curb 47% of them.

UFC Vegas 68	Dooho Choi	Kyle Nelson
Opening Odds	-190	+160
Record	14-4-0	13-5-0
Average Fight Time	6:07	9:16
Height	5'10"	5'11"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.32	3.34
Striking Accuracy	51%	46%

In terms of grappling, Dooho Choi is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.41 times per 15 minutes. Choi is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries and is stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nelson is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 63% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Choi is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Nelson looks to get 1.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Dooho Choi went up against Charles Jourdain and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Jourdain ended up landing 75 of 140 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Choi ended the night having landed 44 of 96 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jourdain landed 64 of 129, which means his percentage was 49%. He ended up landing 38 of 84 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Choi landed 44% of his significant strikes by sticking 42 of 94. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 30 of 80 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Jourdain and 85% of them connected on by Choi were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Kyle Nelson, he fought Jai Herbert and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Herbert ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Nelson ended up connecting on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nelson ended up connecting on 66% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 41 of 62. He connected on 15 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. Herbert connected on 36 of 64 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 43 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Herbert ended up connecting on 84 of 116 while Nelson connected on 55 of 77 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Yusaku Kinoshita enters the Octagon against Adam Fugitt. Kinoshita comes into this bout with a record of 6-1-0. The 22-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Fugitt measures in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 8-3-0. The 34-year-old reaches 77". In terms of takedowns, Yusaku Kinoshita is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds and Adam Fugitt takes his opponents down 1.35 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Kinoshita lands 5.79 strikes per min and landing 61% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Adam Fugitt, who connects on 56% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.74 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Anshul Jubli is set to encounter Jeka Saragih. Saragih looks to add a victory to his total of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Jubli measures 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 6-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning wrestling, Jeka Saragih is able to stop 15% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 80% of his tries. Jubli is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Saragih is absorbing 1.52 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.45 per min. Jubli, notwithstanding, is taking 6.67 strikes/minute and deals 6.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+160)

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Dooho Choi vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 2/4/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 68 Odds

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