Diego Lopes vs Gavin Tucker Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/31/2023

Diego Lopes vs Gavin Tucker

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Diego Lopes will face off with Gavin Tucker at UFC Nashville on Saturday, August 5, 2023. The moneyline has Lopes priced at -140 while Tucker is priced at +120.

Diego Lopes has a career record of 21-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Gavin "Guv'nor" Tucker measures in at 5'6" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 37-year-old reaches 66". When talking about significant strikes, Diego Lopes is landing 2.26 per min while Gavin Tucker lands 4.39 significant strikes per min. Lopes lands 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Tucker is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Lopes takes 5.24 significant strikes per minute and "Guv'nor" takes 4.28. Lopes also thwarts 34% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Tucker is able to defend against 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Diego Lopes ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Nashville	Diego Lopes	Gavin Tucker
Opening Odds	-140	+120
Record	21-6-0	13-2-0
Average Fight Time	12:36	11:44
Height	5'11"	5'6"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	72"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.26	4.39
Striking Accuracy	52%	45%

In the category of takedowns, Diego Lopes is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rds. Lopes is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and stopping 36% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Tucker is taking his opponents down on 42% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Lopes is the more apt fighter by going for 4.2 finishes per 3 rds while Tucker tries 1.5 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Diego Lopes went up against Movsar Evloev and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Evloev landed 183 of 228 total strikes that he let go. Lopes walked away from this fight having landed 48 of 82 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Evloev ended up landing 88 of 129, which means his percentage was 68%. He ended up landing 76 of 116 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lopes ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes by landing 37 of 69. Of all the significant strikes, he was 29 of 57 aimed at the head. 51% of the significant strikes landed by Evloev and 72% of them connected on by Lopes were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Gavin Tucker, he went up against Dan Ige and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Ige connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Tucker connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Tucker ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 1 of 1. He ended up connecting on 0 of 0 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ige connected on 1 of 4 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 1 of 4 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Ige landed 1 of 4 and Tucker was 1 of 1 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Tanner Boser fights Aleksa Camur. Boser steps into the cage holding a record of 20-10-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Camur comes in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Tanner Boser gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds while Aleksa Camur takes his opponents to the canvas 0.59 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Boser is connecting on 4.17 strikes per min and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Aleksa Camur, who is landing 59% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.78 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ludovit Klein is set to take on Ignacio Bahamondes. Bahamondes comes into this bout with a record of 14-4-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Klein measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 19-4-1. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". When it comes to takedowns, Ignacio Bahamondes curbs 95% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts. Klein is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and curbs 81% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Bahamondes is taking 4.51 strikes/minute and he dishes out 7.93 per minute. Klein, on the other side, is absorbing 3.67 strikes/minute and is landing 3.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Diego Lopes (-140)

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Diego Lopes vs Gavin Tucker Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

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