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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 2/4/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 68 Odds

Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 2/4/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 68 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/31/2023

ufc picks Serghei Spivac predictions best bet odds

Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac

UFC Vegas 68

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 4, 2023

Derrick Lewis will take on Serghei Spivac at UFC Vegas 68 on Saturday, February 4, 2023. The line has Lewis priced at +195 while Spivac is coming in at -230.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis will be looking to add a victory to his total of 26-10-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac stands in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 15-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of significant strikes, Derrick Lewis is landing 2.57 per min while Serghei Spivac is landing 3.79 significant strikes per min. Lewis connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Spivac is connecting on 51%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Black Beast" takes 2.57 significant strikes per min and "Polar Bear" allows 2.96. Lewis also deflects 41% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Spivac thwarts 55% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 68 Derrick Lewis Serghei Spivac
Opening Odds +195 -230
Record 26-10-0 (1 NC) 15-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:02 8:34
Height 6'3" 6'3"
Weight 260 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 79" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.57 3.79
Striking Accuracy 50% 51%

 

In the wrestling category, Derrick Lewis is not as efficient of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. Lewis is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his attempts and defending 55% of all takedown attempts. Spivac is taking his opponents to the mat on 63% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Lewis is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Spivac goes for 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Derrick Lewis went up against Sergei Pavlovich and walked away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Pavlovich ended up landing 15 of 24 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lewis finished this fight landing 4 of 6 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pavlovich landed 15 of 24, which gave him a percentage of 62%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Lewis landed 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 6. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 2 of 4 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Pavlovich and 100% of them landed by Lewis were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Serghei Spivac, he squared up with Augusto Sakai and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Sakai ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Spivac connected on 27% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Spivac ended up connecting on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 33 of 49. He connected on 33 of 49 significant strikes aimed at the head. Sakai landed 8 of 23 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 14 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Sakai ended up landing 14 of 29 while Spivac ended up landing 86 of 119 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Da-Un Jung meets Devin Clark. Jung looks to add a win to his total of 15-3-1. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Clark measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 13-7-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When it comes to grappling, Da-Un Jung takes his opponents to the canvas 2.43 times per 15 min while Devin Clark is able to score a takedown 2.30 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Jung lands an average of 4.05 strikes per minute and landing 43% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Devin Clark, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 2.94 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Blagoy Ivanov is set to encounter Marcin Tybura. Tybura walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 23-7-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 249 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Ivanov comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 19-4-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 73". In the category of takedowns, Marcin Tybura is able to thwart 79% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 32% of the times he tries. Ivanov is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of the attempts he tries and defends against 77% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Tybura is absorbing 3.38 strikes/minute while he is dealing 3.61 strikes/minute. Ivanov, moreover, is absorbing 4.21 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Derrick Lewis (+195)

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