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Darren Elkins vs TJ Brown Pick, 10/14/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 81 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/9/2023

Darren Elkins vs TJ Brown

UFC Vegas 81

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 14, 2023

Darren Elkins will take on TJ Brown at UFC Vegas 81 on Saturday, October 14, 2023. The opening moneyline has Elkins coming in at +154 while Brown is coming in at -185.

Darren "The Damage" Elkins has a record of 27-11-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". TJ "Downtown" Brown stands 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-10-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Darren Elkins connects on 3.53 per min while TJ Brown connects on 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Elkins connects on 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Brown connects on 45%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Damage" allows 3.35 significant strikes per minute and "Downtown" absorbs 3.14. Elkins also stops 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Brown thwarts 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Darren Elkins predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 81 Darren Elkins TJ Brown
Opening Odds +154 -185
Record 27-11-0 17-10-0
Average Fight Time 11:49 12:45
Height 5'10" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.53 3.63
Striking Accuracy 38% 45%

 

In the category of takedowns, Darren Elkins is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.73 times per 15 minutes. Elkins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of the times he tries and stuffing 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. Brown is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 36% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Elkins is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Brown attempts 1.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Darren Elkins fought Jonathan Pearce and ended up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Pearce ended up landing 154 of 276 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Elkins walked away from this fight having landed 67 of 203 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pearce landed 110 of 222, which gave him a percentage of 49%. He landed 80 of 188 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Elkins ended up landing 29% of his significant strikes by sticking 57 of 193. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 47 of 176 aimed at the head. 60% of the significant strikes landed by Pearce and 85% of them landed by Elkins were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for TJ Brown, he squared up with Bill Algeo and ended up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 2. Algeo landed 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Brown ended up landing 71% of his significant strikes at distance. Brown ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 46 of 91. He ended up landing 34 of 78 significant strikes directed at the head. Algeo ended up landing 64 of 110 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 44 of 81 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Algeo landed 77 of 123 while Brown ended up connecting on 49 of 94 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Chris Gutierrez faces off with Alateng Heili. Gutierrez has a mark of 19-5-2. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Heili measures 5'5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-8-2. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 66". Regarding grappling, Chris Gutierrez is able to score a takedown 0.38 times per 15 min while Alateng Heili takes his opponents down 1.78 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Gutierrez lands an average of 4.75 strikes per minute and lands 58% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Alateng Heili, who is connecting on 33% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 2.94 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Viviane Araujo is set to face off against Jennifer Maia. Maia walks into the Octagon holding a record of 21-9-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Araujo stands 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 68". In the category of takedowns, Jennifer Maia thwarts 57% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 21% of her tries. Araujo is taking her opponents to the mat on 48% of the attempts she tries and is able to deflect 82% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Maia absorbs 4.78 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.50 strikes/min. Araujo, on the other side, is absorbing 5.45 strikes per min and is dealing 4.63 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take TJ Brown (-185)

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