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Dan Argueta vs Ronnie Lawrence Pick, 6/17/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 75 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/12/2023

Dan Argueta vs Ronnie Lawrence

UFC Vegas 75

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Dan Argueta will battle Ronnie Lawrence at UFC Vegas 75 on Saturday, June 17, 2023. The opening moneyline has Argueta at +155 while Lawrence is coming in at -190.

Dan "The Determined" Argueta steps into the Octagon with a mark of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 68". Ronnie "The Heat" Lawrence comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Dan Argueta connects on 2.47 per min and Ronnie Lawrence connects on 2.88 significant strikes per min. Argueta lands 51% of the significant strikes he throws while Lawrence connects on 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Determined" allows 1.53 significant strikes per min while "The Heat" allows 1.75. Argueta also thwarts 52% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Lawrence is able to thwart 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Ronnie Lawrence ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 75 Dan Argueta Ronnie Lawrence
Opening Odds +155 -190
Record 9-1-0 8-2-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 14:25
Height 5'7" 5'8"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 68" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.47 2.88
Striking Accuracy 51% 56%

 

Regarding grappling, Dan Argueta is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 2.50 times per 3 rds. Argueta is scoring a takedown on 55% of the times he tries and stuffing 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Lawrence is taking his opponents to the canvas on 77% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 47% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Argueta is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Lawrence attempts 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Dan Argueta squared up with Nick Aguirre and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Aguirre landed 15 of 47 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Argueta finished this fight landing 93 of 144 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Aguirre landed 14 of 44, which gave him a rate of 31%. He finished the fight landing 14 of 42 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Argueta landed 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 47 of 85. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 29 of 65 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Aguirre and 57% of them landed by Argueta were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Ronnie Lawrence, he fought Saidyokub Kakhramonov and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Kakhramonov ended up landing 12% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Lawrence ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lawrence connected on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 15 of 33. He ended up connecting on 8 of 21 significant strikes to the head. Kakhramonov connected on 32 of 59 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 28 of 53 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Kakhramonov ended up connecting on 105 of 156 while Lawrence ended up connecting on 16 of 34 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Zac Pauga squares up against Modestas Bukauskas. Pauga holds a record of 7-1-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Bukauskas measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding grappling, Zac Pauga gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds and Modestas Bukauskas is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Pauga connects for an average of 4.42 strikes/minute and connecting on 67% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Modestas Bukauskas, who tags his opponent on 38% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.37 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gabriella Fernandes is set to clash with Tereza Bleda. Bleda will be looking to add a win to her career record of 6-1-0. The 21-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Fernandes stands 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 66". Concerning wrestling, Tereza Bleda is able to thwart 83% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 25% of her tries. Fernandes is taking her opponents down on 15% of her tries and curbs 50% of all takedown tries against her. With reference to striking, Bleda is taking 2.04 strikes/min while she is dealing 2.57 per minute. Fernandes, in contrast, absorbs 1.60 strikes per min and deals 1.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dan Argueta (+155)

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