Dan Argueta vs Miles Johns Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/18/2023

Dan Argueta vs Miles Johns

UFC Vegas 79

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Dan Argueta will face off with Miles Johns at UFC Vegas 79 on Saturday, September 23, 2023. The opening odds have Argueta at -185 while Johns is coming in at +154.

Dan "The Determined" Argueta steps into the cage with a mark of 9-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 68". Miles "Chapo" Johns stands in at 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 66". When talking about significant strikes, Dan Argueta is connecting on 2.41 per minute and Miles Johns is connecting on 3.63 significant strikes per min. Argueta is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Johns is connecting on 48%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Determined" absorbs 1.45 significant strikes per minute while "Chapo" allows 2.85. Argueta also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Johns is able to defend against 69% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Miles Johns ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 79	Dan Argueta	Miles Johns
Opening Odds	-185	+154
Record	9-1-0 (1 NC)	13-2-0
Average Fight Time	10:47	12:29
Height	5'7"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	68"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.41	3.63
Striking Accuracy	52%	48%

In terms of wrestling, Dan Argueta is the more capable wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.78 times per 15 minutes. Argueta is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of his tries and defending 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Johns is scoring a takedown on 19% of the takedowns he tries and defending 92% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Argueta is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Johns goes for 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Dan Argueta fought Ronnie Lawrence and the fight ended in a no contest by way of a no contest in round 1. Lawrence ended up landing 2 of 3 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Argueta ended the night having landed 12 of 12 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lawrence ended up landing 1 of 2, giving him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 0 of 1 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Argueta landed 100% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 4. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 3 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Lawrence and 25% of them landed by Argueta were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Miles Johns, he battled Vince Morales and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Morales connected on 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Johns ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Johns ended up connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 38 of 103. He landed 28 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. Morales connected on 39 of 131 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 28 of 112 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Morales ended up landing 47 of 139 and Johns was 45 of 110 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Tim Means faces off against Andre Fialho. Means looks to add a victory to his total of 32-15-1 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Fialho stands in at 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Tim Means takes his opponents down 1.21 times per 3 rds and Andre Fialho scores a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Means lands an average of 4.93 strikes/minute and lands 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Andre Fialho, who tags his opponent on 39% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.02 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cody Brundage is set to square up with Jacob Malkoun. Malkoun comes into this bout with a mark of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Brundage measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". Regarding takedowns, Jacob Malkoun is able to deflect 15% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of his tries. Brundage is taking his opponents to the mat on 47% of his attempts and thwarts 73% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Malkoun is absorbing 2.64 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.70 strikes per minute. Brundage, on the contrary, absorbs 2.18 strikes per min and is connecting on 1.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dan Argueta (-185)

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Dan Argueta vs Miles Johns Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

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