Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Cody Garbrandt will enter the Octagon with Brian Kelleher at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The opening odds have Garbrandt priced at -205 while Kelleher is at +170.

Cody "No Love" Garbrandt will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Brian "Boom" Kelleher measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 24-14-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of significant strikes, Cody Garbrandt is connecting on 3.00 per minute and Brian Kelleher is connecting on 3.36 significant strikes per min. Garbrandt is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Kelleher lands 41%. In terms of defending in the cage, "No Love" takes 3.89 significant strikes per min while "Boom" takes 4.61. Garbrandt also deflects 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Kelleher is able to curb 54% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Cody Garbrandt is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.13 times per 3 rds. Garbrandt is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his tries and stuffing 78% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Kelleher is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his takedown tries and thwarting 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submissions, Garbrandt is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Kelleher looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Cody Garbrandt fought Trevin Jones and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Jones ended up landing 30 of 79 total strikes attempted in that fight. Garbrandt ended the night having landed 33 of 40 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Jones ended up landing 20 of 69, which gave him a percentage of 28%. He landed 9 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Garbrandt ended up landing 78% of his significant strikes by connecting on 26 of 33. Out of those significant strikes, he was 8 of 14 aimed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Jones and 80% of them connected on by Garbrandt were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Brian Kelleher, he battled Mario Bautista and walked away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Bautista landed 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Kelleher ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Kelleher landed 66% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 2 of 3. He connected on 1 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Bautista ended up landing 6 of 17 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 14 aimed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Bautista ended up connecting on 6 of 17 while Kelleher was 2 of 3 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alonzo Menifield faces off with Dustin Jacoby. Menifield walks into the cage with a mark of 14-3-1. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jacoby comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 19-7-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of takedowns, Alonzo Menifield takes his opponents to the mat 0.62 times per 15 min and Dustin Jacoby takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Menifield is connecting on 3.82 strikes per min and landing 57% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Dustin Jacoby, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 5.46 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Cody Durden is set to square up in the Octagon against Tagir Ulanbekov. Ulanbekov comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Durden measures in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-4-1. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 67". In terms of grappling, Tagir Ulanbekov is able to curb 61% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts. Durden is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the attempts he tries and prevents 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Ulanbekov is absorbing 3.29 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.35 strikes/min. Durden, in contrast, absorbs 2.94 strikes per min and deals 3.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cody Garbrandt (-205)

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