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Christian Rodriguez vs Cameron Saaiman Pick, 10/14/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 81 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/9/2023

Christian Rodriguez vs Cameron Saaiman

UFC Vegas 81

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 14, 2023

Christian Rodriguez will take on Cameron Saaiman at UFC Vegas 81 on Saturday, October 14, 2023. The moneyline has Rodriguez priced at -130 while Saaiman is priced at +110.

Christian Rodriguez comes into this bout with a mark of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Cameron "MSP" Saaiman comes in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 22-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of significant strikes, Christian Rodriguez connects on 2.89 per min and Cameron Saaiman lands 5.41 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez lands 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Saaiman is connecting on 48%. When it comes to defending themselves, Rodriguez takes 1.73 significant strikes per min and "MSP" takes 2.48. Rodriguez also defends 59% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Saaiman defends against 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Christian Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 81 Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman
Opening Odds -130 +110
Record 9-1-0 9-0-0
Average Fight Time 12:17 11:19
Height 5'7" 5'8"
Weight 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 71" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.89 5.41
Striking Accuracy 43% 48%

 

Regarding takedowns, Christian Rodriguez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.92 times per 15 minutes. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 60% of his tries and is stuffing 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Saaiman is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his takedown tries and defending 41% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Rodriguez is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.2 submissions per 15 min while Saaiman attempts 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Christian Rodriguez fought Raul Rosas Jr. and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Jr. landed 2 of 19 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Rodriguez finished this fight landing 83 of 115 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Jr. ended up landing 2 of 19, which gave him a percentage of 10%. He landed 2 of 15 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Rodriguez ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 29 of 52. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 26 of 47 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Jr. and 13% of them connected on by Rodriguez were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Cameron Saaiman, he went up against Terrence Mitchell and took home the win via punches to the head from bottom mount in round 1. Mitchell connected on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Saaiman connected on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Saaiman connected on 56% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 18 of 32. He ended up landing 15 of 29 significant strikes aimed at the head. Mitchell landed 3 of 7 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 3 of 7 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Mitchell ended up connecting on 6 of 11 while Saaiman was 23 of 38 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Darren Elkins battles TJ Brown. Elkins has a record of 27-11-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Brown stands 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-10-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Darren Elkins is able to score a takedown 2.73 times per 3 rounds and TJ Brown takes his opponents to the canvas 3.53 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Elkins lands 3.53 strikes/min and is connecting on 38% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is TJ Brown, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.63 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Alateng Heili is set to face off with Chris Gutierrez. Gutierrez has a mark of 19-5-2. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Heili measures 5'5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-8-2. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 66". Concerning wrestling, Chris Gutierrez is able to thwart 74% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 37% of his attempts. Heili is taking his opponents to the mat on 39% of his tries and is able to stop 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Gutierrez absorbs 2.76 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 4.75 strikes per min. Heili, on the other hand, takes 4.58 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.94 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Christian Rodriguez (-130)

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