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Chris Curtis vs Kelvin Gastelum Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/4/2023

Chris Curtis vs Kelvin Gastelum

UFC 287

Miami-Dade Arena in Miami, FL

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Chris Curtis will battle Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 287 on Saturday, April 8, 2023. The opening line has Curtis at +110 while Gastelum is coming in at -135.

Chris "Action-Man" Curtis walks into the Octagon with a mark of 30-9-0. The 35-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Kelvin Gastelum comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-8-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". With respect to significant strikes, Chris Curtis lands 5.82 per minute while Kelvin Gastelum is landing 3.53 significant strikes per minute. Curtis lands 56% of the significant strikes he attempts while Gastelum is connecting on 41%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Action-Man" takes 6.39 significant strikes per minute and Gastelum allows 3.24. Curtis also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Gastelum defends against 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Chris Curtis ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 287 Chris Curtis Kelvin Gastelum
Opening Odds +110 -135
Record 30-9-0 17-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 10:09 13:34
Height 5'10" 5'9"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 75" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.82 3.53
Striking Accuracy 56% 41%

 

In the grappling category, Chris Curtis is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Curtis is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Gastelum is finishing his takedowns on 32% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 62% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Curtis is the more capable fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Gastelum goes for 0.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Chris Curtis went up against Joaquin Buckley and ended up winning this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Buckley landed 50 of 163 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Curtis finished this fight landing 36 of 87 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Buckley landed 50 of 163, giving him a percentage of 30%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 134 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Curtis ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 36 of 87. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 25 of 72 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Buckley and 80% of them connected on by Curtis were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Kelvin Gastelum, he squared up with Jared Cannonier and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Cannonier connected on 97% of his significant strikes at distance while Gastelum ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gastelum connected on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 89 of 246. He landed 48 of 187 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cannonier landed 81 of 207 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 162 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Cannonier landed 91 of 218 while Gastelum connected on 89 of 246 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Gerald Meerschaert encounters Joe Pyfer. Meerschaert holds a record of 35-15-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Pyfer stands in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Gerald Meerschaert gets his opposition to the mat 2.17 times per 15 min and Joe Pyfer takes his opponents to the mat 2.01 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Meerschaert is landing 3.11 strikes/minute and connecting on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Joe Pyfer, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.49 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Chase Sherman is set to take on Karl Williams. Williams looks to add a victory to his career total of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Sherman measures 6'4" and records a weight of 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 16-11-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 78". Concerning wrestling, Karl Williams is able to deflect 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 68% of the times he tries. Sherman is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 66% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Williams is taking 0.90 strikes/min while he is landing 2.07 strikes per min. Sherman, on the other side, is absorbing 6.85 strikes per minute and is landing 6.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Kelvin Gastelum (-135)

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